{"id":237240,"date":"2024-11-15T12:48:12","date_gmt":"2024-11-15T17:48:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/?p=237240"},"modified":"2024-11-15T15:12:55","modified_gmt":"2024-11-15T20:12:55","slug":"the-market-in-pictures-november-15","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-15\/","title":{"rendered":"The Market in Pictures, November 15"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brad:<\/strong> Stocks had a nice run of daily inflows coming into and out of the election<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237241 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Equity-Inflows-Goldman-11.13-Brad.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"841\" height=\"477\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Equity-Inflows-Goldman-11.13-Brad.png 841w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Equity-Inflows-Goldman-11.13-Brad-480x272.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 841px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Goldman Sachs as of 11.13.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brian:<\/strong> though after the past few days, Bitcoin is the standout post-election performer<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237242 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Post-Election-Performance-Macrobond-11.15.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1254\" height=\"844\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Post-Election-Performance-Macrobond-11.15.png 1254w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Post-Election-Performance-Macrobond-11.15-980x660.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Post-Election-Performance-Macrobond-11.15-480x323.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1254px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Beckham:<\/strong> The U.S. economy has been on a good run of exceeding expectations throughout the fall<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237243 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Econ-Surprising-to-Upside-BofA-11.08.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"922\" height=\"771\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Econ-Surprising-to-Upside-BofA-11.08.png 922w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Econ-Surprising-to-Upside-BofA-11.08-480x401.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 922px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 11.08.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brett:<\/strong> though it\u2019s par for the course for the FOMC to underestimate the economic strength<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237244 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/FOMC-GDP-Expectations-Apollo-11.09.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1147\" height=\"784\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/FOMC-GDP-Expectations-Apollo-11.09.jpg 1147w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/FOMC-GDP-Expectations-Apollo-11.09-980x670.jpg 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/FOMC-GDP-Expectations-Apollo-11.09-480x328.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1147px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 11.08.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> and the market is again separating from the Fed\u2019s published expectations<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237245 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Market-Expectations-for-Cuts-Fading-Bianco-11.08-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"900\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Market-Expectations-for-Cuts-Fading-Bianco-11.08-JL.png 1200w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Market-Expectations-for-Cuts-Fading-Bianco-11.08-JL-980x735.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Market-Expectations-for-Cuts-Fading-Bianco-11.08-JL-480x360.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1200px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 11.08.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Arch:<\/strong> This continues a pattern of misalignment between market expectations and those of the Fed<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237246 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Fed-Usually-Wrong-Apollo-11.09.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1129\" height=\"562\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Fed-Usually-Wrong-Apollo-11.09.png 1129w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Fed-Usually-Wrong-Apollo-11.09-980x488.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Fed-Usually-Wrong-Apollo-11.09-480x239.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1129px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Apollo as of 11.09.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> and through all of the uncertainty, the Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) has actually been pretty steady<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237247 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Stable-CPI-FRED-11.13-JL.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"959\" height=\"476\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Stable-CPI-FRED-11.13-JL.jpg 959w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Stable-CPI-FRED-11.13-JL-480x238.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 959px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 11.13.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brad:<\/strong> with the economic history books showing past patterns of inflation stabilizing at higher levels and then surging to even higher highs<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237248 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Inflation-Waves-Strategas-11.13-Brad.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"772\" height=\"534\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Inflation-Waves-Strategas-11.13-Brad.png 772w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Inflation-Waves-Strategas-11.13-Brad-480x332.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 772px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 11.13.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Joseph:<\/strong> The current move higher in bond yields looks tied to buyers demanding higher real rates for their dollars<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237249 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Real-Rates-Rising-TS-Lombard-11.08-Joseph.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"763\" height=\"373\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Real-Rates-Rising-TS-Lombard-11.08-Joseph.png 763w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Real-Rates-Rising-TS-Lombard-11.08-Joseph-480x235.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 763px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 11.08.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> and the economic strength implied by that type of move ties in with the seasonal tendency towards more value-oriented sectors<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237250 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Value-End-of-Year-Citi-11.09-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"968\" height=\"717\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Value-End-of-Year-Citi-11.09-JL.png 968w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Value-End-of-Year-Citi-11.09-JL-480x356.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 968px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 11.09.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> Earnings growth hasn\u2019t been huge but for U.S. large caps it\u2019s generally been higher than expectations<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237251 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/SP-Earnings-vs.-Expectations-Goldman-11.07.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"874\" height=\"590\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/SP-Earnings-vs.-Expectations-Goldman-11.07.png 874w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/SP-Earnings-vs.-Expectations-Goldman-11.07-480x324.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 874px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> though the larger driver of the move higher in stocks has been higher valuations, presumably driven by optimism about future earnings<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237252 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Valuation-Bump-Goldman-11.08.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1174\" height=\"880\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Valuation-Bump-Goldman-11.08.png 1174w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Valuation-Bump-Goldman-11.08-980x735.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Valuation-Bump-Goldman-11.08-480x360.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1174px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>JD:<\/strong> Are stocks really that much more valuable, or is currency debasement simply being reflected in higher prices for risk assets?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237253 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/SPX-in-Gold-Terms-PGM-11.13-JD.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"764\" height=\"506\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/SPX-in-Gold-Terms-PGM-11.13-JD.png 764w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/SPX-in-Gold-Terms-PGM-11.13-JD-480x318.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 764px, 100vw\" \/> Data as of 11.13.2024<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<h5><strong>Disclosures<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not financial advice or an offer to sell any product. The information contained herein should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Forward-looking statements cannot be guaranteed.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future financial performance of markets are only predictions and actual events or results may differ materially.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>This commentary offers generalized research, not personalized investment advice. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a complete description of our investment services or performance. Nothing in this commentary should be interpreted to state or imply that past results are an indication of future investment returns. All investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with an investment &amp; tax professional before implementing any investment strategy. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Advisory services are offered through Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration does not imply a certain level or skill or training. More information about the advisor, its investment strategies and objectives, is included in the firm\u2019s Form ADV Part 2, which can be obtained, at no charge, by calling (251) 517-7198. Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC is headquartered in Fairhope, Alabama. ACA-2411-19. <\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: Brad: Stocks had a nice run of daily inflows coming into and out of the election &nbsp; Source: Goldman Sachs as of 11.13.2024 &nbsp; Brian: [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,194],"tags":[132,242,615,179,168],"class_list":["post-237240","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","category-charts","tag-earnings","tag-economy","tag-election","tag-markets","tag-stocks"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Market in Pictures, November 15 - Aptus Capital Advisors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-15\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Market in Pictures, November 15 - Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: Brad: Stocks had a nice run of daily inflows coming into and out of the election &nbsp; Source: Goldman Sachs as of 11.13.2024 &nbsp; Brian: [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-15\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-11-15T17:48:12+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-11-15T20:12:55+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Equity-Inflows-Goldman-11.13-Brad.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Aptus PM Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Aptus PM Team\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-15\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-15\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Aptus PM Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#\/schema\/person\/ad43972730756fb6d6e01e61090f21c2\"},\"headline\":\"The Market in Pictures, November 15\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-11-15T17:48:12+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-11-15T20:12:55+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-15\/\"},\"wordCount\":548,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"earnings\",\"economy\",\"election\",\"markets\",\"stocks\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Blog\",\"Charts\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-15\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-15\/\",\"name\":\"The Market in Pictures, November 15 - 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A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: Brad: Stocks had a nice run of daily inflows coming into and out of the election &nbsp; Source: Goldman Sachs as of 11.13.2024 &nbsp; Brian: [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-15\/","og_site_name":"Aptus Capital Advisors","article_published_time":"2024-11-15T17:48:12+00:00","article_modified_time":"2024-11-15T20:12:55+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Equity-Inflows-Goldman-11.13-Brad.png"}],"author":"Aptus PM Team","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Aptus PM Team","Est. reading time":"5 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-15\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-15\/"},"author":{"name":"Aptus PM Team","@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#\/schema\/person\/ad43972730756fb6d6e01e61090f21c2"},"headline":"The Market in Pictures, November 15","datePublished":"2024-11-15T17:48:12+00:00","dateModified":"2024-11-15T20:12:55+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-15\/"},"wordCount":548,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#organization"},"keywords":["earnings","economy","election","markets","stocks"],"articleSection":["Blog","Charts"],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-15\/","url":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-15\/","name":"The Market in Pictures, November 15 - 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