{"id":237044,"date":"2024-10-11T13:16:12","date_gmt":"2024-10-11T17:16:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/?p=237044"},"modified":"2024-10-11T15:31:50","modified_gmt":"2024-10-11T19:31:50","slug":"the-market-in-pictures-october-11","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-october-11\/","title":{"rendered":"The Market in Pictures, October 11"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:<\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> The past few years have seen a change in the leading contributors to inflation, first goods and now services<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237046 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Inflation-Breakdown-Bberg-10.10.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"866\" height=\"505\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Inflation-Breakdown-Bberg-10.10.png 866w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Inflation-Breakdown-Bberg-10.10-480x280.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 866px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 10.10.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brett:<\/strong> with the overall cost of goods now flat year-over-year by government measures<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237047 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Changing-Inflation-Bberg-10.10.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"868\" height=\"518\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Changing-Inflation-Bberg-10.10.png 868w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Changing-Inflation-Bberg-10.10-480x286.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 868px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 10.10.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> and the \u201csupercore\u201d services components now re-accelerating after hopes this favored FOMC measure would track towards their 2% target<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-237048 \" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Supercore-Up-SoFi-10.10.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"803\" height=\"464\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Supercore-Up-SoFi-10.10.jpg 803w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Supercore-Up-SoFi-10.10-480x277.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 803px, 100vw\" \/><br \/>\nData as of 10.10.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Arch:<\/strong> Homeowners insurance is becoming an acute pain point for consumers, even those away from the most obvious hot spots<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237049 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Homeowners-Insurance-Kyla-Scanlon-Sept-2024.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1448\" height=\"758\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Homeowners-Insurance-Kyla-Scanlon-Sept-2024.jpg 1448w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Homeowners-Insurance-Kyla-Scanlon-Sept-2024-1280x670.jpg 1280w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Homeowners-Insurance-Kyla-Scanlon-Sept-2024-980x513.jpg 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Homeowners-Insurance-Kyla-Scanlon-Sept-2024-480x251.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) and (max-width: 1280px) 1280px, (min-width: 1281px) 1448px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of September 2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Joseph:<\/strong> though as we\u2019re seeing, there are really no areas completely safe from Mother Nature\u2019s impact<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237050 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Weather-Damage-Bberg-10.05-Joseph.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"894\" height=\"718\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Weather-Damage-Bberg-10.05-Joseph.png 894w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Weather-Damage-Bberg-10.05-Joseph-480x385.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 894px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Beckham:<\/strong> and the value of those homes being insured has risen dramatically in the past few years\u00a0 <\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237051 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Housing-Timing-Kyla-Scanlon-Sept-2024.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"572\" height=\"910\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Housing-Timing-Kyla-Scanlon-Sept-2024.jpg 572w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Housing-Timing-Kyla-Scanlon-Sept-2024-480x764.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 572px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of July 2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> Despite a job market that\u2019s less tight than it was a year or two ago, the employment situation is nowhere near recession levels<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237052 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Sahm-Rule-BofA-10.02-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"774\" height=\"526\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Sahm-Rule-BofA-10.02-JL.png 774w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Sahm-Rule-BofA-10.02-JL-480x326.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 774px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of August 2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brad:<\/strong> and general measures that have often driven consumer despair remain at healthy levels<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237053 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Misery-Index-Yardeni-10.07.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Misery-Index-Yardeni-10.07.png 1920w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Misery-Index-Yardeni-10.07-1280x720.png 1280w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Misery-Index-Yardeni-10.07-980x551.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Misery-Index-Yardeni-10.07-480x270.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) and (max-width: 1280px) 1280px, (min-width: 1281px) 1920px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 10.10.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brian:<\/strong> but it will be interesting to see what corporations say about the levels of customer demand<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237054 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Better-Demand-BofA-10.07.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"970\" height=\"557\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Better-Demand-BofA-10.07.jpg 970w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Better-Demand-BofA-10.07-480x276.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 970px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of July 2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> In typical fashion, Q3 earnings estimates have been falling throughout the quarter<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237055 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Q3-Earnings-Revisions-Strategas-10.07-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"922\" height=\"480\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Q3-Earnings-Revisions-Strategas-10.07-Dave.png 922w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Q3-Earnings-Revisions-Strategas-10.07-Dave-480x250.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 922px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 10.07.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brad:<\/strong> though that\u2019s not stopping strategists from lifting estimates into 2025 and 2026<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237056 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Earnings-Rising-Goldman-10.03.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"929\" height=\"671\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Earnings-Rising-Goldman-10.03.jpg 929w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Earnings-Rising-Goldman-10.03-480x347.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 929px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Joseph:<\/strong> also notable, stocks have a history of rising during this early phase of earnings seasons<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237057 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/SP-Rises-During-Earnings-10.07-Deutsche-Bank.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"751\" height=\"552\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/SP-Rises-During-Earnings-10.07-Deutsche-Bank.jpg 751w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/SP-Rises-During-Earnings-10.07-Deutsche-Bank-480x353.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 751px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of July 2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> We\u2019re just about two full years into this bull run, one of the better in recent times<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237058 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Year-3-of-Bull-Strategas-10.07-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"993\" height=\"574\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Year-3-of-Bull-Strategas-10.07-Dave.png 993w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Year-3-of-Bull-Strategas-10.07-Dave-980x566.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Year-3-of-Bull-Strategas-10.07-Dave-480x277.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 993px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> though as we all know, small caps have been a serious laggard in this one<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237059 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Year-3-of-Bull-Small-Strategas-10.07-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1015\" height=\"572\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Year-3-of-Bull-Small-Strategas-10.07-Dave.png 1015w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Year-3-of-Bull-Small-Strategas-10.07-Dave-980x552.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Year-3-of-Bull-Small-Strategas-10.07-Dave-480x271.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1015px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> On the other end of the spectrum, the biggest of the big have had huge gains backed up by business fundamentals<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237060 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Mag-7-Performance-JPM-09.30-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1109\" height=\"733\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Mag-7-Performance-JPM-09.30-JL.png 1109w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Mag-7-Performance-JPM-09.30-JL-980x648.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Mag-7-Performance-JPM-09.30-JL-480x317.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1109px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Arch:<\/strong> and despite comparisons to the dot-com bubble, those fundamental measures don\u2019t illustrate similar levels of crazy<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-237061 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Mag-7-vs.-Dot-Com-VizCap-Sept-2024.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"942\" height=\"1256\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>JD:<\/strong> We talk about this a lot; the way to protect against government spending is by owning more risk assets, with guardrails<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-237062 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Deficits-and-Stocks-McClellan-10.07.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"736\" height=\"406\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Deficits-and-Stocks-McClellan-10.07.png 736w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Deficits-and-Stocks-McClellan-10.07-480x265.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 736px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of September 2024<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<h5><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><strong>Disclosures<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not financial advice or an offer to sell any product. The information contained herein should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Forward-looking statements cannot be guaranteed.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future financial performance of markets are only predictions and actual events or results may differ materially.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>This commentary offers generalized research, not personalized investment advice. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a complete description of our investment services or performance. Nothing in this commentary should be interpreted to state or imply that past results are an indication of future investment returns. All investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with an investment &amp; tax professional before implementing any investment strategy. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Advisory services are offered through Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration does not imply a certain level or skill or training. More information about the advisor, its investment strategies and objectives, is included in the firm\u2019s Form ADV Part 2, which can be obtained, at no charge, by calling (251) 517-7198. Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC is headquartered in Fairhope, Alabama. ACA-2410-22. <\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: \u00a0 John Luke: The past few years have seen a change in the leading contributors to inflation, first goods and now services &nbsp; Data as [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,194],"tags":[57,504,83,124,276,605],"class_list":["post-237044","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","category-charts","tag-fed","tag-homeowners","tag-inflation","tag-jobs","tag-sp-500","tag-supercore"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Market in Pictures, October 11 - Aptus Capital Advisors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-october-11\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Market in Pictures, October 11 - Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. 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