{"id":236369,"date":"2024-06-28T13:10:46","date_gmt":"2024-06-28T17:10:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/?p=236369"},"modified":"2024-06-28T16:16:53","modified_gmt":"2024-06-28T20:16:53","slug":"the-market-in-pictures-june-28","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-june-28\/","title":{"rendered":"The Market in Pictures, June 28"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brian:<\/strong> The story of US economic strength has been the growing wealth of the consumer<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236370 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Consumer-Balance-Sheets-Aptus-06.26-Brian.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1349\" height=\"435\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Consumer-Balance-Sheets-Aptus-06.26-Brian.png 1349w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Consumer-Balance-Sheets-Aptus-06.26-Brian-1280x413.png 1280w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Consumer-Balance-Sheets-Aptus-06.26-Brian-980x316.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Consumer-Balance-Sheets-Aptus-06.26-Brian-480x155.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) and (max-width: 1280px) 1280px, (min-width: 1281px) 1349px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Aptus via Federal Reserve Data as of March 2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> with liquid assets staying high for all but the lowest-income group<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236371 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Liquid-Assets-High-Piper-Sandler-06.25-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"636\" height=\"252\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Liquid-Assets-High-Piper-Sandler-06.25-Dave.png 636w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Liquid-Assets-High-Piper-Sandler-06.25-Dave-480x190.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 636px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Piper Sandler as of April 2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Beckham:<\/strong> and debt service running at low levels<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236372 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Debt-to-Income-BofA-June-2024.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1646\" height=\"1682\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Debt-to-Income-BofA-June-2024.png 1646w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Debt-to-Income-BofA-June-2024-1280x1308.png 1280w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Debt-to-Income-BofA-June-2024-980x1001.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Debt-to-Income-BofA-June-2024-480x490.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) and (max-width: 1280px) 1280px, (min-width: 1281px) 1646px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of May 2024<\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> as most of the debt is tied to fixed (lower) interest rates<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236373 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Consumer-Debt-Strategas-06.21-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"586\" height=\"348\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Consumer-Debt-Strategas-06.21-Dave.png 586w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Consumer-Debt-Strategas-06.21-Dave-480x285.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 586px, 100vw\" \/><\/strong>Source: Strategas as of 06.21.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brett:<\/strong> all of which has seemingly made this FOMC tightening cycle less effective than normal<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236374 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Tightening-Less-Effective-TS-Lombard-06.26.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2262\" height=\"912\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Tightening-Less-Effective-TS-Lombard-06.26.png 2262w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Tightening-Less-Effective-TS-Lombard-06.26-1280x516.png 1280w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Tightening-Less-Effective-TS-Lombard-06.26-980x395.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Tightening-Less-Effective-TS-Lombard-06.26-480x194.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) and (max-width: 1280px) 1280px, (min-width: 1281px) 2262px, 100vw\" \/><\/strong>Data as of 06.26.2024<\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Joseph:<\/strong> Adding to the Fed\u2019s resistance to cutting rates is the sharp rise in consumer beliefs on inflation, especially for lower-income groups<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236375 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Inflation-Expectations-Rising-Apollo-06.24.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"921\" height=\"980\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Inflation-Expectations-Rising-Apollo-06.24.jpg 921w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Inflation-Expectations-Rising-Apollo-06.24-480x511.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 921px, 100vw\" \/><\/strong>Source: Apollo as of May 2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> and a tight labor market that doesn\u2019t seem to need stimulus<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236376 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Tight-Labor-@BobEUnlimited-06.27-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"709\" height=\"478\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Tight-Labor-@BobEUnlimited-06.27-JL.png 709w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Tight-Labor-@BobEUnlimited-06.27-JL-480x324.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 709px, 100vw\" \/><\/strong>Data as of June 2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke: <\/strong>with a\u00a0 credit market priced for low corporate defaults<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236377 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/High-Yield-Defaults-Low-KKR-June-2024-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"432\" height=\"363\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/High-Yield-Defaults-Low-KKR-June-2024-JL.png 432w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/High-Yield-Defaults-Low-KKR-June-2024-JL-300x252.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 432px) 100vw, 432px\" \/>Source: KKR<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> Where potential trouble exists is in the US federal budget<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236378 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/US-Deficit-Path-KKR-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"401\" height=\"470\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/US-Deficit-Path-KKR-JL.png 401w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/US-Deficit-Path-KKR-JL-256x300.png 256w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 401px) 100vw, 401px\" \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> where outlays are pulling higher, away from revenues<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236379 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Federal-Budget-WSJ-06.22-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"920\" height=\"763\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Federal-Budget-WSJ-06.22-JL.png 920w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Federal-Budget-WSJ-06.22-JL-480x398.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 920px, 100vw\" \/>Source: WSJ as of 06.22.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> and interest expense now exceeds the amount spent on defense<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236380 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Federal-Interest-Expense-Strategas-06.21-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"900\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Federal-Interest-Expense-Strategas-06.21-JL.png 1200w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Federal-Interest-Expense-Strategas-06.21-JL-980x735.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Federal-Interest-Expense-Strategas-06.21-JL-480x360.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1200px, 100vw\" \/><\/strong>Data as of May 2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brian:<\/strong> The consistent deficits have seemingly contributed to an environment favoring stocks over bonds<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236381 \" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Stocks-Over-CPI-10-Years-Aptus-June-2024-Brian.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"722\" height=\"472\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Stocks-Over-CPI-10-Years-Aptus-June-2024-Brian.png 722w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Stocks-Over-CPI-10-Years-Aptus-June-2024-Brian-480x314.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 722px, 100vw\" \/><\/strong>Source: Aptus via Bloomberg as of 05.31.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brian:<\/strong> which has only accelerated the trend going back before the global financial crisis<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236382 \" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Stocks-Over-CPI-20-Years-Aptus-June-2024-Brian.png.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"734\" height=\"474\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Stocks-Over-CPI-20-Years-Aptus-June-2024-Brian.png.jpg 734w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Stocks-Over-CPI-20-Years-Aptus-June-2024-Brian.png-480x310.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 734px, 100vw\" \/><\/strong>Source: Aptus via Bloomberg as of 05.31.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Arch:<\/strong> The environment of late has been towards divergent outcomes across stocks and sectors<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236383 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Dispersion-BofA-06.21.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1162\" height=\"556\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Dispersion-BofA-06.21.jpg 1162w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Dispersion-BofA-06.21-980x469.jpg 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Dispersion-BofA-06.21-480x230.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1162px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> but there\u2019s been enough strength across larger names to support a continuation of the S&amp;P 500\u2019s advance<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236384 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Good-Breadth-Strategas-06.25-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1076\" height=\"458\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Good-Breadth-Strategas-06.25-JL.png 1076w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Good-Breadth-Strategas-06.25-JL-980x417.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Good-Breadth-Strategas-06.25-JL-480x204.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1076px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 06.25.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Joseph:<\/strong> However US consumers feel about the state of the economy, they sure are making plans to expand their travel<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236385 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Foreign-Travel-Strategas-06-27-Joseph.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"774\" height=\"564\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Foreign-Travel-Strategas-06-27-Joseph.png 774w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Foreign-Travel-Strategas-06-27-Joseph-480x350.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 774px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 06.27.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h5><strong>Disclosures<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not financial advice or an offer to sell any product. The information contained herein should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Forward-looking statements cannot be guaranteed.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future financial performance of markets are only predictions and actual events or results may differ materially.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>This commentary offers generalized research, not personalized investment advice. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a complete description of our investment services or performance. Nothing in this commentary should be interpreted to state or imply that past results are an indication of future investment returns. All investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with an investment &amp; tax professional before implementing any investment strategy. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Advisory services are offered through Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration does not imply a certain level or skill or training. More information about the advisor, its investment strategies and objectives, is included in the firm\u2019s Form ADV Part 2, which can be obtained, at no charge, by calling (251) 517-7198. Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC is headquartered in Fairhope, Alabama. ACA-2406-25. <\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: Brian: The story of US economic strength has been the growing wealth of the consumer &nbsp; Source: Aptus via Federal Reserve Data as of March [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,194],"tags":[132,179,276,168,245],"class_list":["post-236369","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","category-charts","tag-earnings","tag-markets","tag-sp-500","tag-stocks","tag-valuations"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Market in Pictures, June 28 - Aptus Capital Advisors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-june-28\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Market in Pictures, June 28 - Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. 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