{"id":236085,"date":"2024-05-17T14:30:30","date_gmt":"2024-05-17T18:30:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/?p=236085"},"modified":"2024-05-17T14:56:33","modified_gmt":"2024-05-17T18:56:33","slug":"the-market-in-pictures-may-17","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-may-17\/","title":{"rendered":"The Market in Pictures, May 17"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brett:<\/strong> DJIA hitting 40,000 will draw attention, but the dollar-weighting gives it some notable quirks relative to the S&amp;P 500<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236086 \" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/DJIA-vs.-SPX-Bberg-05.15.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"799\" height=\"1117\" \/>Data as of 05.10.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/strong><em><strong>Beckham:<\/strong> with some heavy contributions from a handful of notable names<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236087 \" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Dow-Doubling-Bberg-05.15.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"722\" height=\"696\" \/>Data as of 05.10.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brett:<\/strong> and some notable arbitrary judgments by the DJIA committee <\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236088 \" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/GE-and-XOM-Out-of-DJIA-Bberg-05.15.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"768\" height=\"473\" \/>Data as of 05.10.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brad: <\/strong>It was a strong quarter for earnings<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236089 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Earnings-Scorecard-Strategas-05.17-Brad-.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"683\" height=\"465\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Earnings-Scorecard-Strategas-05.17-Brad-.png 683w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Earnings-Scorecard-Strategas-05.17-Brad--480x327.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 683px, 100vw\" \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brian:<\/strong> with the first instance of rising estimates in the 1<sup>st<\/sup> month of a quarter since 2021<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236090 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/EPS-Estimates-Rising-FactSet-05.10.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"684\" height=\"393\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/EPS-Estimates-Rising-FactSet-05.10.png 684w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/EPS-Estimates-Rising-FactSet-05.10-480x276.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 684px, 100vw\" \/><\/strong>Data as of 05.10.2024<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> and we\u2019ll need more of that to deliver the significant lift in earnings currently factored into consensus estimates<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236077 \" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Consensus-qtly-yy_Raymond-james-5.13.24.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"698\" height=\"405\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Consensus-qtly-yy_Raymond-james-5.13.24.png 698w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Consensus-qtly-yy_Raymond-james-5.13.24-480x278.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 698px, 100vw\" \/><\/strong>Source: Raymond James as of 05.10.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Joseph:<\/strong> Services have completely taken over from goods as the driver of inflation<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236091 \" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Services-Inflation-Bberg-05.15.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"788\" height=\"470\" \/><\/strong>Data as of 05.15.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> and specifically, the \u201cSupercore\u201d measure remains higher than the Fed\u2019s comfort level<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236092 \" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Supercore-Hot-Bberg-05.15.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"776\" height=\"506\" \/><\/strong>Data as of 05.15.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> with the stickiest components well off of the highs but stabilizing at a \u201ctoo high\u201d level as well<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236093 \" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Sticky-Inflation-Bberg-05.15.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"785\" height=\"466\" \/><\/strong>Data as of 05.10.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> Rate cut expectations have been pushed out all year, but finally relented a bit with some of the recent FOMC comments<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236094 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Pricing-in-Cuts-Bianco-05.15-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"900\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Pricing-in-Cuts-Bianco-05.15-JL.png 1200w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Pricing-in-Cuts-Bianco-05.15-JL-980x735.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Pricing-in-Cuts-Bianco-05.15-JL-480x360.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1200px, 100vw\" \/><\/strong>Data as of 05.15.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brian:<\/strong> with the initial 4-6 cuts now down to only a September rate cut factored in before the November 5 election<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236095 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/FedWatch-CME-Group-05.16-.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"670\" height=\"355\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/FedWatch-CME-Group-05.16-.png 670w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/FedWatch-CME-Group-05.16--480x254.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 670px, 100vw\" \/><\/strong>Source: CME as of 05.17.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>JD:<\/strong> To this point, the move from the Fall 2022 lows has been a middle-of-the-road rally for the S&amp;P 500<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236096 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Cyclical-Bull-@jurientimmer-05.12.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1263\" height=\"748\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Cyclical-Bull-@jurientimmer-05.12.jpeg 1263w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Cyclical-Bull-@jurientimmer-05.12-980x580.jpeg 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Cyclical-Bull-@jurientimmer-05.12-480x284.jpeg 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1263px, 100vw\" \/><\/strong>Data as of 05.12.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> with small-cap stocks lagging significantly from the lows<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236097 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Small-Caps-Since-Bottom-Strategas-05.14-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1156\" height=\"704\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Small-Caps-Since-Bottom-Strategas-05.14-Dave.png 1156w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Small-Caps-Since-Bottom-Strategas-05.14-Dave-980x597.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Small-Caps-Since-Bottom-Strategas-05.14-Dave-480x292.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1156px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brad:<\/strong> creating one of the longer periods without highs for the widely-watched Russell 2000<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236098 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Russell-Non-High-Strategas-05.14-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1157\" height=\"707\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Russell-Non-High-Strategas-05.14-Dave.png 1157w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Russell-Non-High-Strategas-05.14-Dave-980x599.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/Russell-Non-High-Strategas-05.14-Dave-480x293.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1157px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> Pundits have thrown stagflation into the scenario discussion, but Fed Chair Powell said recently he doesn\u2019t see the \u201cstag\u201d or the \u201cflation\u201d and history shows it\u2019s pretty rare<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-236099 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/No-Stagflation-BofA-05.10-JL-.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"578\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/No-Stagflation-BofA-05.10-JL-.jpg 625w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/No-Stagflation-BofA-05.10-JL--480x444.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 625px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of April 2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h5><strong>Disclosures<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not financial advice or an offer to sell any product. The information contained herein should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Forward-looking statements cannot be guaranteed.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future financial performance of markets are only predictions and actual events or results may differ materially.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>This commentary offers generalized research, not personalized investment advice. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a complete description of our investment services or performance. Nothing in this commentary should be interpreted to state or imply that past results are an indication of future investment returns. All investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with an investment &amp; tax professional before implementing any investment strategy. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Advisory services are offered through Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration does not imply a certain level or skill or training. More information about the advisor, its investment strategies and objectives, is included in the firm\u2019s Form ADV Part 2, which can be obtained, at no charge, by calling (251) 517-7198. Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC is headquartered in Fairhope, Alabama. ACA-2405-16. <\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: Brett: DJIA hitting 40,000 will draw attention, but the dollar-weighting gives it some notable quirks relative to the S&amp;P 500 &nbsp; Data as of 05.10.2024 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,194],"tags":[612,132,57,83,179,306,473,98,168,605],"class_list":["post-236085","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","category-charts","tag-dow","tag-earnings","tag-fed","tag-inflation","tag-markets","tag-rate-cuts","tag-services","tag-small-cap","tag-stocks","tag-supercore"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Market in Pictures, May 17 - Aptus Capital Advisors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-may-17\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Market in Pictures, May 17 - Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. 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A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: Brett: DJIA hitting 40,000 will draw attention, but the dollar-weighting gives it some notable quirks relative to the S&amp;P 500 &nbsp; Data as of 05.10.2024 [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-may-17\/","og_site_name":"Aptus Capital Advisors","article_published_time":"2024-05-17T18:30:30+00:00","article_modified_time":"2024-05-17T18:56:33+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/DJIA-vs.-SPX-Bberg-05.15.jpg"}],"author":"Aptus PM Team","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Aptus PM Team","Est. reading time":"6 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-may-17\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-may-17\/"},"author":{"name":"Aptus PM Team","@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#\/schema\/person\/ad43972730756fb6d6e01e61090f21c2"},"headline":"The Market in Pictures, May 17","datePublished":"2024-05-17T18:30:30+00:00","dateModified":"2024-05-17T18:56:33+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-may-17\/"},"wordCount":571,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#organization"},"keywords":["dow","earnings","Fed","inflation","markets","rate cuts","services","small cap","stocks","supercore"],"articleSection":["Blog","Charts"],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-may-17\/","url":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-may-17\/","name":"The Market in Pictures, May 17 - 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