{"id":235930,"date":"2024-04-19T09:06:32","date_gmt":"2024-04-19T13:06:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/?p=235930"},"modified":"2024-04-19T12:47:53","modified_gmt":"2024-04-19T16:47:53","slug":"the-market-in-pictures-april-19","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-april-19\/","title":{"rendered":"The Market in Pictures, April 19"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Brad:<\/strong> Earnings among US stocks have continued to decline in recent months, though projections for next year remain robust.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235932\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"931\" height=\"554\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-1.png 931w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-1-480x286.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 931px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 03.31.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Derek:<\/strong> Either way, US Stocks have proven to be superior to what an investor could have captured outside of the United States.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235944\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1072\" height=\"601\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-2.png 1072w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-2-480x269.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 1072px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Rothchild &amp; Co as of 01.31.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>John Luke:<\/strong>\u00a0 Disinflation appears to have been a transitory base-effect improvement, while underlying inflationary pressures look to be entrenched and broadening.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235943\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-3.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"746\" height=\"477\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-3.png 746w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-3-480x307.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 746px, 100vw\" \/>Source: PGM Global as of 03.31.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Brian:<\/strong> The good news is that service inflation is mostly wages, so wage growth may continue to outpace broader inflation.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235942\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-4.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"936\" height=\"400\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-4.png 936w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-4-480x205.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 936px, 100vw\" \/><\/strong>Source: Federal Reserve as of 03.31.2024<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Beckham:<\/strong> the 10-year yield had retraced the entire November to March interest rate rally that was driven by the view that we\u2019d see up to 7 rates cuts.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235941\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-5.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"729\" height=\"450\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-5.png 729w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-5-480x296.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 729px, 100vw\" \/><\/strong>Source: Aptus, Treasury as of 04.18.2024<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Dave: <\/strong>This has been the cause of US bonds having one of their worst starts to the year they\u2019ve ever seen.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235940\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-6.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"877\" height=\"596\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-6.png 877w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-6-480x327.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 877px, 100vw\" \/><\/strong>Source: Bianco as of 04.15.2024<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>John Luke: <\/strong>One issue is bonds have little room to run even if there is normalization in the yield curve<strong>.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235939\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-7.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"547\" height=\"450\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-7.png 547w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-7-480x395.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 547px, 100vw\" \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: Bloomberg as of 03.31.2024<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Brian: <\/strong>meanwhile, US equities have clearly ebbed and flowed in their returns over the years, but sticking with an allocation has compounded returns 100-fold the past ~40 years<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-235938\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-8.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"854\" height=\"480\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-8.png 854w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-8-480x270.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 854px, 100vw\" \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: Ritholtz Wealth Management as of 03.31.2024<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>John Luke: <\/strong>Equities have been the place to be globally for the long-term as well.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235937\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-9.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"802\" height=\"411\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-9.png 802w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-9-480x246.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 802px, 100vw\" \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: Credit Suisse as of 12.31.2022<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Brian: <\/strong>Sticking with equities, simply excluding the largest 10 stocks in the S&amp;P 500 would have led to outperformance over the past 50+ years.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-235936\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-10.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"804\" height=\"420\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-10.jpg 804w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-10-480x251.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 804px, 100vw\" \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: Ned Davis Research as of 4.11.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Brad: <\/strong>A similar effect has been seen in the outperformance of equal weight vs market weight over time, though the time frames of relative performance have varied.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-235935\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-11.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"782\" height=\"486\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-11.png 782w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-11-480x298.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 782px, 100vw\" \/>\u00a0<\/strong>Source: JP Morgan as of 3.31.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>John Luke: <\/strong>Fortunately for investors looking to be overweight equities and hedge through options rather than bonds, the cost of protecting a portfolio from falling (in this case more than 5%) was very cheap at the end of the quarter.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-235934\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Cahrt-12.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"924\" height=\"450\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Cahrt-12.png 924w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Cahrt-12-480x234.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 924px, 100vw\" \/><\/strong>Source: Aptus as of 3.31.2024<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Mark: <\/strong>Investors have seemingly taken notice in recent weeks.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-235933\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-13.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"754\" height=\"558\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-13.png 754w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-13-480x355.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 754px, 100vw\" \/>Source: CBOE as of 4.12.2024<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Disclosures<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not financial advice or an offer to sell any product. The information contained herein should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Forward-looking statements cannot be guaranteed.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future financial performance of markets are only predictions and actual events or results may differ materially.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>This commentary offers generalized research, not personalized investment advice. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a complete description of our investment services or performance. Nothing in this commentary should be interpreted to state or imply that past results are an indication of future investment returns. All investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with an investment &amp; tax professional before implementing any investment strategy. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Advisory services are offered through Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration does not imply a certain level or skill or training. More information about the advisor, its investment strategies and objectives, is included in the firm\u2019s Form ADV Part 2, which can be obtained, at no charge, by calling (251) 517-7198. Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC is headquartered in Fairhope, Alabama. ACA-2404-26.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: &nbsp; Brad: Earnings among US stocks have continued to decline in recent months, though projections for next year remain robust. &nbsp; Source: Strategas as of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,194],"tags":[53,376,132,83,124,179,306,606,473,168,605],"class_list":["post-235930","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","category-charts","tag-cpi","tag-debt","tag-earnings","tag-inflation","tag-jobs","tag-markets","tag-rate-cuts","tag-reit-stocks","tag-services","tag-stocks","tag-supercore"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Market in Pictures, April 19 - Aptus Capital Advisors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-april-19\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Market in Pictures, April 19 - Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. 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A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: &nbsp; Brad: Earnings among US stocks have continued to decline in recent months, though projections for next year remain robust. &nbsp; Source: Strategas as of [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-april-19\/","og_site_name":"Aptus Capital Advisors","article_published_time":"2024-04-19T13:06:32+00:00","article_modified_time":"2024-04-19T16:47:53+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Chart-1.png"}],"author":"Aptus PM Team","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Aptus PM Team","Est. reading time":"6 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-april-19\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-april-19\/"},"author":{"name":"Aptus PM Team","@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#\/schema\/person\/ad43972730756fb6d6e01e61090f21c2"},"headline":"The Market in Pictures, April 19","datePublished":"2024-04-19T13:06:32+00:00","dateModified":"2024-04-19T16:47:53+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-april-19\/"},"wordCount":627,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#organization"},"keywords":["CPI","debt","earnings","inflation","Jobs","markets","rate cuts","reit stocks","services","stocks","supercore"],"articleSection":["Blog","Charts"],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-april-19\/","url":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-april-19\/","name":"The Market in Pictures, April 19 - 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