{"id":235535,"date":"2024-02-09T14:18:48","date_gmt":"2024-02-09T19:18:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/?p=235535"},"modified":"2024-02-09T15:27:46","modified_gmt":"2024-02-09T20:27:46","slug":"the-market-in-pictures-february-9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-9\/","title":{"rendered":"The Market in Pictures, February 9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> Market expectations for 2024 interest rate cuts are slowly moving back towards FOMC guidance<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235536 \" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Market-Expectations-Bianco-02.05-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1055\" height=\"791\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Market-Expectations-Bianco-02.05-JL.png 1055w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Market-Expectations-Bianco-02.05-JL-980x735.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Market-Expectations-Bianco-02.05-JL-480x360.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1055px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 02.05.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> as the underlying economy is producing data indicating that the inflation battle is still underway<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235537 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/ISM-Services_Bloomberg-2.5.24.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1182\" height=\"662\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/ISM-Services_Bloomberg-2.5.24.png 1182w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/ISM-Services_Bloomberg-2.5.24-980x549.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/ISM-Services_Bloomberg-2.5.24-480x269.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1182px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Bloomberg as of 02.05.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> and long bonds are suffering as a result, relative to historical post-hiking cycle performance <\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235538 \" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Bonds-Losing-Post-Pause-Strategas-02.08-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"634\" height=\"370\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Bonds-Losing-Post-Pause-Strategas-02.08-Dave.png 634w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Bonds-Losing-Post-Pause-Strategas-02.08-Dave-480x280.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 634px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 02.04.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> Large growth continues to dominate <\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235539 \" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Large-Growth-Over-Small-Value-Mstar-02.05-JL.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"564\" height=\"696\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Large-Growth-Over-Small-Value-Mstar-02.05-JL.jpg 564w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Large-Growth-Over-Small-Value-Mstar-02.05-JL-480x593.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 564px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Morningstar as of 02.05.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brad:<\/strong> but one of the \u201cMag 7\u201d is losing its place<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235540 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Mag-7-Changing-Strategas-02.06-Brad.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"685\" height=\"543\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Mag-7-Changing-Strategas-02.06-Brad.png 685w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Mag-7-Changing-Strategas-02.06-Brad-480x380.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 685px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 02.06.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brian:<\/strong> which is something that has often occurred in the following year for the largest market-cap companies<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235541 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Buying-the-Biggest-GMO-02.06.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"510\" height=\"279\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Buying-the-Biggest-GMO-02.06.png 510w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Buying-the-Biggest-GMO-02.06-480x263.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 510px, 100vw\" \/>Source: GMO as of Jan 2024<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> and looking out a few quarters shows the possibility of some serious earnings gains for smaller companies<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235542 \" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Russell-2000-Forward-Earnings-Strategas-02.07.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"826\" height=\"503\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 02.07.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Beckham:<\/strong> It\u2019s not a surprise to see how far ahead tech is, at the expense of all other sectors<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235543 \" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Tech-vs.-Everybody-@DailyChartbook-02.07.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"996\" height=\"570\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Tech-vs.-Everybody-@DailyChartbook-02.07-980x561.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Tech-vs.-Everybody-@DailyChartbook-02.07-480x275.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 996px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Grindstone Intelligence<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> but now prices for technology stocks have raced far ahead of their own earnings<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235544 \" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Tech-racing_@ginamartinadams-1.27.24.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1018\" height=\"645\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Tech-racing_@ginamartinadams-1.27.24.png 1018w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Tech-racing_@ginamartinadams-1.27.24-980x621.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Tech-racing_@ginamartinadams-1.27.24-480x304.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1018px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Joseph:<\/strong> while the neglected energy companies shovel cash flow into buybacks and dividends<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235546 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Heavy-Energy-Buybacks-Bberg-02.08-Joseph.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"750\" height=\"402\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Heavy-Energy-Buybacks-Bberg-02.08-Joseph.png 750w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Heavy-Energy-Buybacks-Bberg-02.08-Joseph-480x257.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 750px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of January 2024<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/strong><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> Earnings estimates are bumping slightly off of the bottom<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235547 \" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Earnings-Revisions-BofA-01.31.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1003\" height=\"579\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Earnings-Revisions-BofA-01.31-980x566.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Earnings-Revisions-BofA-01.31-480x277.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1003px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 01.31.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brad:<\/strong> as the trickle of reports turns into a flood, and shows better growth than expected a month ago<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235548 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Earnings-Scorecard-Strategas-02.07-Brad.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"922\" height=\"399\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Earnings-Scorecard-Strategas-02.07-Brad.png 922w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Earnings-Scorecard-Strategas-02.07-Brad-480x208.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 922px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 02.02.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brian:<\/strong> Confidence among corporate executives is moving nicely higher from multi-year lows<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235549 \" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/CEO-Confidence-Rising-Conference-Board-02.08.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"915\" height=\"565\" \/>Data as of 02.08.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Beckham:<\/strong> as inflation worries fade but equally important, the general level of interest expense among corporations<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235550 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Net-Interest-Costs-Falling-Deutsche-Bank-Jan-2024.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"782\" height=\"530\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Net-Interest-Costs-Falling-Deutsche-Bank-Jan-2024.png 782w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Net-Interest-Costs-Falling-Deutsche-Bank-Jan-2024-480x325.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 782px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of January 2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Joseph:<\/strong> Everyone knows most foreign markets have significantly lagged the U.S., but this pic shows an interest set of dynamics<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235551 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Countries-and-All-Time-Highs-RJ-02.09-Joseph.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"915\" height=\"484\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Countries-and-All-Time-Highs-RJ-02.09-Joseph.png 915w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Countries-and-All-Time-Highs-RJ-02.09-Joseph-480x254.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 915px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Raymond James as of 02.09.2024<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brett:<\/strong> Regular reminder, ETFs operate with a different (better!) tax structure than mutual funds<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-235552 \" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/via-@nategeraci.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"950\" height=\"567\" \/>Via @nategeraci<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<h5><strong>Disclosures<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not financial advice or an offer to sell any product. The information contained herein should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Forward-looking statements cannot be guaranteed.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><em>Projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future financial performance of markets are only predictions and actual events or results may differ materially.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><em>This commentary offers generalized research, not personalized investment advice. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a complete description of our investment services or performance. Nothing in this commentary should be interpreted to state or imply that past results are an indication of future investment returns. All investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with an investment &amp; tax professional before implementing any investment strategy. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><em>Advisory services are offered through Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration does not imply a certain level or skill or training. More information about the advisor, its investment strategies and objectives, is included in the firm\u2019s Form ADV Part 2, which can be obtained, at no charge, by calling (251) 517-7198. Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC is headquartered in Fairhope, Alabama. ACA-2402-11.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: &nbsp; John Luke: Market expectations for 2024 interest rate cuts are slowly moving back towards FOMC guidance &nbsp; Data as of 02.05.2024 &nbsp; John Luke: [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,194],"tags":[84,132,83,560,179,168,377],"class_list":["post-235535","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","category-charts","tag-bonds","tag-earnings","tag-inflation","tag-magnificent-7","tag-markets","tag-stocks","tag-tech"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Market in Pictures, February 9 - Aptus Capital Advisors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-9\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Market in Pictures, February 9 - Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: &nbsp; John Luke: Market expectations for 2024 interest rate cuts are slowly moving back towards FOMC guidance &nbsp; Data as of 02.05.2024 &nbsp; John Luke: [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-9\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-02-09T19:18:48+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-02-09T20:27:46+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Market-Expectations-Bianco-02.05-JL.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Aptus PM Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Aptus PM Team\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-9\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-9\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Aptus PM Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#\/schema\/person\/ad43972730756fb6d6e01e61090f21c2\"},\"headline\":\"The Market in Pictures, February 9\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-02-09T19:18:48+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-02-09T20:27:46+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-9\/\"},\"wordCount\":578,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"bonds\",\"earnings\",\"inflation\",\"Magnificent 7\",\"markets\",\"stocks\",\"tech\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Blog\",\"Charts\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-9\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-9\/\",\"name\":\"The Market in Pictures, February 9 - 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