{"id":234205,"date":"2023-07-28T11:26:08","date_gmt":"2023-07-28T15:26:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/?p=234205"},"modified":"2023-07-28T13:27:22","modified_gmt":"2023-07-28T17:27:22","slug":"the-market-in-pictures-july-28","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-july-28\/","title":{"rendered":"The Market in Pictures, July 28"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> VIX has fallen into lower levels indicating complacency, but that hasn\u2019t historically led to weaker returns<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-234209 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Forward-Returns-VIX-Strategas-07.24-JL-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"739\" height=\"490\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 07.24.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Beckham:<\/strong> but for those looking to participate in equities, it\u2019s been some time since hedges could be purchased at prices this cheap<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-234210 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Cheap-Hedges-Market-Ear-07.21-Beckham.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"377\" height=\"566\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Cheap-Hedges-Market-Ear-07.21-Beckham.png 377w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Cheap-Hedges-Market-Ear-07.21-Beckham-200x300.png 200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 377px) 100vw, 377px\" \/>Source: BofA via Market Ear as of 07.24.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> Inflation has fallen sharply across all segments<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-234212 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Inflation-Measure-Falling-FT-07.26-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"500\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Inflation-Measure-Falling-FT-07.26-JL.png 700w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Inflation-Measure-Falling-FT-07.26-JL-480x343.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 700px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 07.24.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> mirroring the drop in pace of consumer spending<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-234213 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Consumer-Spending-Drop-RJ-07.27-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2660\" height=\"1110\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Consumer-Spending-Drop-RJ-07.27-Dave.png 2660w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Consumer-Spending-Drop-RJ-07.27-Dave-1280x534.png 1280w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Consumer-Spending-Drop-RJ-07.27-Dave-980x409.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Consumer-Spending-Drop-RJ-07.27-Dave-480x200.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) and (max-width: 1280px) 1280px, (min-width: 1281px) 2660px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Raymond James as of 07.27.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> and markets are becoming confident that this week was the last hike<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-234214 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Done-With-Hikes-Bberg-07.27-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"895\" height=\"543\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Done-With-Hikes-Bberg-07.27-JL.png 895w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Done-With-Hikes-Bberg-07.27-JL-480x291.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 895px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 07.26.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brad:<\/strong> But are commodities signaling that the fall in prices may be reaching its limit?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-234215 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Commodity-Low-RJ-07.24-Brad.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"735\" height=\"463\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Commodity-Low-RJ-07.24-Brad.png 735w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Commodity-Low-RJ-07.24-Brad-480x302.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 735px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 07.24.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> US corporations played the interest rate cycle just as well as US homeowners<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-234216 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Corporate-Interest-Payments-Bberg-07.25-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"653\" height=\"326\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Corporate-Interest-Payments-Bberg-07.25-JL.png 653w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Corporate-Interest-Payments-Bberg-07.25-JL-480x240.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 653px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 07.24.2023<\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> and based on the chart below, they\u2019ve also reduced their share of government tax receipts over the past decade<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-234217 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Personal-Income-Taxes-Alpine-07.24-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"370\" height=\"457\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Personal-Income-Taxes-Alpine-07.24-JL.png 370w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Personal-Income-Taxes-Alpine-07.24-JL-243x300.png 243w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 370px) 100vw, 370px\" \/>Data as of 07.24.2023<\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> Communications and technology are generating the lion\u2019s share of upside earnings surprises<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-234218 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Earnings-Bouncing-Strategas-07.24-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1552\" height=\"915\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Earnings-Bouncing-Strategas-07.24-Dave.png 1552w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Earnings-Bouncing-Strategas-07.24-Dave-1280x755.png 1280w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Earnings-Bouncing-Strategas-07.24-Dave-980x578.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Earnings-Bouncing-Strategas-07.24-Dave-480x283.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) and (max-width: 1280px) 1280px, (min-width: 1281px) 1552px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 07.27.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> helping overall earnings bottom in recent months<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-234219 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Earnings-Low-Strategas-07.24-Dave-.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1210\" height=\"725\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Earnings-Low-Strategas-07.24-Dave-.png 1210w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Earnings-Low-Strategas-07.24-Dave--980x587.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Earnings-Low-Strategas-07.24-Dave--480x288.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1210px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 07.24.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Joseph:<\/strong> If conditions have indeed improved, it\u2019s not a secret anymore <\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-234220  aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Sentiment-Running-Hot-Strategas-07.24-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"723\" height=\"659\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 07.24.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h5><strong>Disclosures<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not financial advice or an offer to sell any product. The information contained herein should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Forward-looking statements cannot be guaranteed.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future financial performance of markets are only predictions and actual events or results may differ materially.<\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>This commentary offers generalized research, not personalized investment advice. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a complete description of our investment services or performance. Nothing in this commentary should be interpreted to state or imply that past results are an indication of future investment returns. All investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with an investment &amp; tax professional before implementing any investment strategy. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible.<\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Advisory services are offered through Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration does not imply a certain level or skill or training. More information about the advisor, its investment strategies and objectives, is included in the firm\u2019s Form ADV Part 2, which can be obtained, at no charge, by calling (251) 517-7198. Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC is headquartered in Fairhope, Alabama. ACA-2307-32.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: &nbsp; John Luke: VIX has fallen into lower levels indicating complacency, but that hasn\u2019t historically led to weaker returns &nbsp; Source: Strategas as of 07.24.2023 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,194],"tags":[320,132,275,504,83,179,377,223],"class_list":["post-234205","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","category-charts","tag-consumer-spending","tag-earnings","tag-equities","tag-homeowners","tag-inflation","tag-markets","tag-tech","tag-vix"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Market in Pictures, July 28 - Aptus Capital Advisors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-july-28\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Market in Pictures, July 28 - Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. 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A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: &nbsp; John Luke: VIX has fallen into lower levels indicating complacency, but that hasn\u2019t historically led to weaker returns &nbsp; Source: Strategas as of 07.24.2023 [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-july-28\/","og_site_name":"Aptus Capital Advisors","article_published_time":"2023-07-28T15:26:08+00:00","article_modified_time":"2023-07-28T17:27:22+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Forward-Returns-VIX-Strategas-07.24-JL-1.png"}],"author":"Aptus PM Team","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Aptus PM Team","Est. reading time":"5 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-july-28\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-july-28\/"},"author":{"name":"Aptus PM Team","@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#\/schema\/person\/ad43972730756fb6d6e01e61090f21c2"},"headline":"The Market in Pictures, July 28","datePublished":"2023-07-28T15:26:08+00:00","dateModified":"2023-07-28T17:27:22+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-july-28\/"},"wordCount":477,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#organization"},"keywords":["consumer spending","earnings","equities","homeowners","inflation","markets","tech","VIX"],"articleSection":["Blog","Charts"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-july-28\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-july-28\/","url":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-july-28\/","name":"The Market in Pictures, July 28 - 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