{"id":233909,"date":"2023-06-09T12:00:55","date_gmt":"2023-06-09T16:00:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/?p=233909"},"modified":"2023-06-09T16:05:14","modified_gmt":"2023-06-09T20:05:14","slug":"the-market-in-pictures-june-9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-june-9\/","title":{"rendered":"The Market in Pictures, June 9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> As everyone knows, a tiny group of megacap tech carried stocks on their back into early June<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233910 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/RSP-vs.-SPY-Strategas-06.02-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1690\" height=\"1010\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/RSP-vs.-SPY-Strategas-06.02-Dave.png 1690w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/RSP-vs.-SPY-Strategas-06.02-Dave-1280x765.png 1280w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/RSP-vs.-SPY-Strategas-06.02-Dave-980x586.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/RSP-vs.-SPY-Strategas-06.02-Dave-480x287.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) and (max-width: 1280px) 1280px, (min-width: 1281px) 1690px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 06.02.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Beckham:<\/strong> with a massive performance disparity between the top few names and the rest <\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233911 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/SPY-vs.-RSP-WSJ-06.06.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"340\" height=\"441\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/SPY-vs.-RSP-WSJ-06.06.png 285w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/SPY-vs.-RSP-WSJ-06.06-231x300.png 231w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 340px) 100vw, 340px\" \/>Source: WSJ as of 06.07.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> but could the divergence just get worked off through a broader advance, vs. a major S&amp;P decline?<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233912 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Russell-Over-SPX-06.08-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"825\" height=\"455\" \/>Source: Mizuho as of 06.08.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Joseph:<\/strong> The rate hiking cycle since early 2022 has seen pockets of performance differences<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233913 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/ETF-Performance-Bespoke-06.02.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"801\" height=\"781\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/ETF-Performance-Bespoke-06.02.png 801w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/ETF-Performance-Bespoke-06.02-480x468.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 801px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Bespoke as of 06.02.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brad:<\/strong> but it\u2019s in lower volatility environments where we\u2019ve historically seen even larger disparities <\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233914 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/VIX-and-Dispersion-Strategas-06.06-Brad.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"682\" height=\"606\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/VIX-and-Dispersion-Strategas-06.06-Brad.png 682w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/VIX-and-Dispersion-Strategas-06.06-Brad-480x427.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 682px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 06.06.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> Money has been flying into the safest areas of markets<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233915 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Flows-vs.-Performance-April-2023-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"736\" height=\"507\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Flows-vs.-Performance-April-2023-JL.png 736w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Flows-vs.-Performance-April-2023-JL-480x331.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 736px, 100vw\" \/>Source: BlackRock as of April 2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Derek:<\/strong> which may set up some conflicts if investors get confident enough to start shoveling that money back into stocks<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233916 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Implied-forward-returns_April-23.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"752\" height=\"438\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Implied-forward-returns_April-23.jpg 752w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Implied-forward-returns_April-23-480x280.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 752px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of April 2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brad:<\/strong> S&amp;P 500 valuations aren\u2019t overly inspiring from an index level of 4300<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233917 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Scenarios-Sevens-Report-06.05-Brad.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"469\" height=\"729\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Scenarios-Sevens-Report-06.05-Brad.png 392w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Scenarios-Sevens-Report-06.05-Brad-193x300.png 193w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 469px) 100vw, 469px\" \/>Source: Sevens Report as of 06.05.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> particularly if Morgan Stanley\u2019s concerns about earnings come through<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233918 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Earnings-Risk-Morgan-Stanley-06.05-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2047\" height=\"705\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Earnings-Risk-Morgan-Stanley-06.05-Dave.png 2047w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Earnings-Risk-Morgan-Stanley-06.05-Dave-1280x441.png 1280w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Earnings-Risk-Morgan-Stanley-06.05-Dave-980x338.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Earnings-Risk-Morgan-Stanley-06.05-Dave-480x165.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) and (max-width: 1280px) 1280px, (min-width: 1281px) 2047px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 06.05.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> fortunately, excessive valuations are mostly tied up in the tech sector, with the rest of the market historically reasonable<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233919 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Valuations-without-Tech-Market-Ear-06.07-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"489\" height=\"362\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Valuations-without-Tech-Market-Ear-06.07-JL.png 489w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Valuations-without-Tech-Market-Ear-06.07-JL-480x355.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 489px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Barclays as of 06.07.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> with a contrast even from large cap tech vs. small cap tech<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233920 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Tech-Small-vs-Large-BofA-06.02-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"779\" height=\"661\" \/>Source: BofA as of 06.02.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> It\u2019s our job to continue taking note of the economic warnings being signaled by the yield curve<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233921 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Yield-Curve-and-Recession-FRB-of-NY-06.05-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"801\" height=\"633\" \/>Source: Federal Reserve Bank of NY as of 06.05.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> but also note that markets are moving away from their rate cut expectations and towards the Fed\u2019s view<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233922 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Market-vs.-Fed-Bianco-06.06-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2400\" height=\"1800\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Market-vs.-Fed-Bianco-06.06-JL.png 2400w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Market-vs.-Fed-Bianco-06.06-JL-1280x960.png 1280w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Market-vs.-Fed-Bianco-06.06-JL-980x735.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Market-vs.-Fed-Bianco-06.06-JL-480x360.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) and (max-width: 1280px) 1280px, (min-width: 1281px) 2400px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Bianco as of 06.06.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> 20% is an arbitrary marker but If this bear market is truly over, it falls about in the middle of average length and drawdown<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233923 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Bear-Market-Over-BofA-06.09-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2452\" height=\"1155\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Bear-Market-Over-BofA-06.09-Dave.png 2452w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Bear-Market-Over-BofA-06.09-Dave-1280x603.png 1280w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Bear-Market-Over-BofA-06.09-Dave-980x462.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Bear-Market-Over-BofA-06.09-Dave-480x226.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) and (max-width: 1280px) 1280px, (min-width: 1281px) 2452px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 06.08.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<h5><\/h5>\n<h5><strong>Disclosures<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not financial advice or an offer to sell any product. The information contained herein should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Forward-looking statements cannot be guaranteed.<\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future financial performance of markets are only predictions and actual events or results may differ materially.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>This commentary offers generalized research, not personalized investment advice. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a complete description of our investment services or performance. Nothing in this commentary should be interpreted to state or imply that past results are an indication of future investment returns. All investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with an investment &amp; tax professional before implementing any investment strategy. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Advisory services are offered through Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration does not imply a certain level or skill or training. More information about the advisor, its investment strategies and objectives, is included in the firm\u2019s Form ADV Part 2, which can be obtained, at no charge, by calling (251) 517-7198. Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC is headquartered in Fairhope, Alabama. ACA-2306-10.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: &nbsp; Dave: As everyone knows, a tiny group of megacap tech carried stocks on their back into early June &nbsp; Source: Strategas as of 06.02.2023 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,194],"tags":[212,383,316,390,457,168,245,63],"class_list":["post-233909","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","category-charts","tag-bear-market","tag-megacap","tag-rates","tag-sp500","tag-smallcap","tag-stocks","tag-valuations","tag-volatility"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Market in Pictures, June 9 - Aptus Capital Advisors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-june-9\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Market in Pictures, June 9 - Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: &nbsp; Dave: As everyone knows, a tiny group of megacap tech carried stocks on their back into early June &nbsp; Source: Strategas as of 06.02.2023 [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-june-9\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-06-09T16:00:55+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-06-09T20:05:14+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/RSP-vs.-SPY-Strategas-06.02-Dave.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Aptus PM Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Aptus PM Team\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-june-9\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-june-9\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Aptus PM Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#\/schema\/person\/ad43972730756fb6d6e01e61090f21c2\"},\"headline\":\"The Market in Pictures, June 9\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-06-09T16:00:55+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-06-09T20:05:14+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-june-9\/\"},\"wordCount\":576,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"bear market\",\"megacap\",\"rates\",\"S&amp;P500\",\"smallcap\",\"stocks\",\"valuations\",\"volatility\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Blog\",\"Charts\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-june-9\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-june-9\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-june-9\/\",\"name\":\"The Market in Pictures, June 9 - 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