{"id":233748,"date":"2023-05-05T16:30:40","date_gmt":"2023-05-05T16:30:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/?p=233748"},"modified":"2023-05-05T18:56:07","modified_gmt":"2023-05-05T18:56:07","slug":"the-market-in-pictures-may-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-may-5\/","title":{"rendered":"The Market in Pictures, May 5"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>John Luke:<\/em><\/strong><em> Demand for labor continues to surpass economist expectations<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233750  aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Payrolls-Cranking-Bianco-05.05-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"956\" height=\"717\" \/>Data as of 05.05.2023<\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>John Luke:<\/em><\/strong><em> with a streak of \u201cbeats\u201d not seen in recent decades<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233751  aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Payrolls-Streak-Bianco-05.05-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"888\" height=\"666\" \/>Data as of 05.05.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>John Luke:<\/em><\/strong><em> This despite a significant contraction in money supply<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233752  aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Money-Supply-Deutsche-Bank-05.01-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"911\" height=\"419\" \/>Source: Deutsche Bank as of 04.30.2023<\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>John Luke:<\/em><\/strong><em> and a commitment to quantitative tightening (QT) by our Federal Reserve<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233753  aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/QT-Underway-Bianco-05.03-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"913\" height=\"685\" \/>Data as of 05.03.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Dave:<\/em><\/strong><em> Where we\u2019re NOT seeing contraction is in Q1 earnings results<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233754  aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Q1-Earnings-Beats-Bianco-05.01-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"854\" height=\"623\" \/>Data as of 05.01.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Dave:<\/em><\/strong><em> quite different from 2022 when earnings estimates were cut repeatedly<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233755 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Q1-Earnings-BofA-05.01-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"940\" height=\"675\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Q1-Earnings-BofA-05.01-Dave.png 940w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Q1-Earnings-BofA-05.01-Dave-480x345.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 940px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of\u00a0 05.01.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> but not strong enough to be described as \u201cgrowing\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233756  aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Q1-Earnings-22V-05.01-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"872\" height=\"599\" \/>Source: 22V Research as of 05.01.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Dave:<\/em><\/strong><em> We\u2019ve seen significant performance differences based on company size, with mega<\/em><em>caps dominating and microcaps floundering<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233757  aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Megacap-Dominance-PSC-04.30-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"930\" height=\"619\" \/>Source: PSC as of 04.30.2023<\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>John Luke:<\/em><\/strong><em> perhaps partly driven by differences in operating margins<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233758 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Operating-Margins-by-Size-PSC-04.30-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"702\" height=\"449\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Operating-Margins-by-Size-PSC-04.30-JL.png 702w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Operating-Margins-by-Size-PSC-04.30-JL-480x307.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 702px, 100vw\" \/>Source: PGM Global as of 04.30.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Dave:<\/em><\/strong><em> and many smaller cap companies lacking earnings entirely<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233759  aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Small-Cap-NonEarners-Strategas-05.01-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"778\" height=\"518\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 04.30.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>John Luke:<\/em><\/strong><em> These contrasting pieces of evidence continue to confuse investors, who still aren\u2019t buying the Fed\u2019s story about future rates<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233760  aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Fed-vs.-Market-Bianco-05.03-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"925\" height=\"694\" \/>Source: Bianco as of 05.03.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>John Luke:<\/em><\/strong><em> as seen by the 1\/3 of polled investors who expect a cut at the July FOMC meeting<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233761  aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Fed-Expectations-Fed-Tool-05.05-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1042\" height=\"470\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Fed-Expectations-Fed-Tool-05.05-JL-980x441.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Fed-Expectations-Fed-Tool-05.05-JL-480x216.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1042px, 100vw\" \/>Source: FedWatch Tool as of 05.05.2023<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<h5><strong>Disclosures<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not financial advice or an offer to sell any product. The information contained herein should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Forward-looking statements cannot be guaranteed.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future financial performance of markets are only predictions and actual events or results may differ materially.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>This commentary offers generalized research, not personalized investment advice. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a complete description of our investment services or performance. Nothing in this commentary should be interpreted to state or imply that past results are an indication of future investment returns. All investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with an investment &amp; tax professional before implementing any investment strategy. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Advisory services are offered through Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration does not imply a certain level or skill or training. More information about the advisor, its investment strategies and objectives, is included in the firm\u2019s Form ADV Part 2, which can be obtained, at no charge, by calling (251) 517-7198. Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC is headquartered in Fairhope, Alabama. ACA-2305-11.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: &nbsp; John Luke: Demand for labor continues to surpass economist expectations &nbsp; Data as of 05.05.2023 \u00a0 John Luke: with a streak of \u201cbeats\u201d not [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,194],"tags":[132,57,361,179,383,456,451,187,405,457,245],"class_list":["post-233748","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","category-charts","tag-earnings","tag-fed","tag-job-market","tag-markets","tag-megacap","tag-microcap","tag-money-supply","tag-quantitative-tightening","tag-sandp500","tag-smallcap","tag-valuations"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Market in Pictures, May 5 - Aptus Capital Advisors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-may-5\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Market in Pictures, May 5 - Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. 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