{"id":233714,"date":"2023-04-28T16:30:02","date_gmt":"2023-04-28T16:30:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/?p=233714"},"modified":"2023-04-28T16:30:18","modified_gmt":"2023-04-28T16:30:18","slug":"the-market-in-pictures-april-28","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-april-28\/","title":{"rendered":"The Market in Pictures, April 28"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brad:<\/strong> The recession playbook has mostly filled in and markets seem to be adjusting<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233715 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Recession-Checklist-Strategas-04.26-Brad.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1012\" height=\"447\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Recession-Checklist-Strategas-04.26-Brad.png 1012w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Recession-Checklist-Strategas-04.26-Brad-980x433.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Recession-Checklist-Strategas-04.26-Brad-480x212.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1012px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 04.24.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> though even a perfect economic forecast doesn\u2019t lead to better investment forecasting<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233716 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Recessions-and-Stocks-Bberg-04.26-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"821\" height=\"569\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Recessions-and-Stocks-Bberg-04.26-JL.png 821w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Recessions-and-Stocks-Bberg-04.26-JL-480x333.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 821px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Bloomberg as of 04.24.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Joseph:<\/strong> As often happens in slowdowns, analysts are banking on the back end of the year to make up for early-year weakness<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233717 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Earnings-Estimates-by-Quarter-Bianco-04.24-Joseph.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"755\" height=\"564\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Earnings-Estimates-by-Quarter-Bianco-04.24-Joseph.png 755w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Earnings-Estimates-by-Quarter-Bianco-04.24-Joseph-480x359.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 755px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Bloomberg as of 04.24.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Joseph:<\/strong> but it\u2019s hard to envision what might reverse the direction of the past 12 months<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233718 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Earnings-Estimate-Progression-Strategas-04.24-Joseph.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"679\" height=\"434\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Earnings-Estimate-Progression-Strategas-04.24-Joseph.png 679w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Earnings-Estimate-Progression-Strategas-04.24-Joseph-480x307.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 679px, 100vw\" \/><em>Source: Strategas as of 04.24.2023<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> Stocks as a % of GDP are cheaper than at the peak but by no measure are they \u201ccheap\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233719  aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Tobins-Q-Bianco-03.31-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"970\" height=\"728\" \/>Source: Bianco as of 04.02.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Joseph:<\/strong> though when breaking down by sector there are significant differences across the universe<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233720 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Sector-Valuations-04.26-Joseph.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"725\" height=\"269\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Sector-Valuations-04.26-Joseph.png 725w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Sector-Valuations-04.26-Joseph-480x178.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 725px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 04.26.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brad:<\/strong> and small cap stocks are at historically extreme cheapness relative to large cap<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233721 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Small-vs.-Large-Strategas-04.25-Brad.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"999\" height=\"657\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Small-vs.-Large-Strategas-04.25-Brad.png 999w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Small-vs.-Large-Strategas-04.25-Brad-980x645.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Small-vs.-Large-Strategas-04.25-Brad-480x316.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 999px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 04.25.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Joseph:<\/strong> Energy companies have transformed themselves into cash-flow machines in recent years<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233722 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Energy-Cash-Flow-EIA-04.25-Joseph.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"806\" height=\"578\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Energy-Cash-Flow-EIA-04.25-Joseph.png 806w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Energy-Cash-Flow-EIA-04.25-Joseph-480x344.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 806px, 100vw\" \/>Source: EIA as of January 2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Joseph:<\/strong> perhaps putting future energy sources at risk but giving shareholders a much better experience<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233723 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Shareholder-Distros-Energy-04.25-Joseph.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"801\" height=\"553\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Shareholder-Distros-Energy-04.25-Joseph.png 801w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Shareholder-Distros-Energy-04.25-Joseph-480x331.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 801px, 100vw\" \/>Source: EIA as of January 2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong>\u00a0 A lot of talk about M2 crashing but in the grand scheme there is still plenty of money sloshing around<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233724 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/M2-Daily-Shot-04.25-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"564\" height=\"957\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/M2-Daily-Shot-04.25-JL.png 564w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/M2-Daily-Shot-04.25-JL-480x814.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 564px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Daily Shot as of 04.25.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Derek:<\/strong> it just may not be flowing into questionable areas <\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233725  aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Non-Profitable-Tech-Fidelity-04.24.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"847\" height=\"528\" \/>Source: Fidelity as of 04.24.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> Interesting to see the range of investor thoughts about current conditions and what may unfold<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233726 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Strategas-Survey-04.21-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"997\" height=\"1317\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Strategas-Survey-04.21-Dave.png 997w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Strategas-Survey-04.21-Dave-980x1295.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Strategas-Survey-04.21-Dave-480x634.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 997px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 04.21.2023<\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<h5><strong>Disclosures<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not financial advice or an offer to sell any product. The information contained herein should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Forward looking statements cannot be guaranteed.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future financial performance of markets are only predictions and actual events or results may differ materially.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>This commentary offers generalized research, not personalized investment advice. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a complete description of our investment services or performance. Nothing in this commentary should be interpreted to state or imply that past results are an indication of future investment returns. All investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with an investment &amp; tax professional before implementing any investment strategy. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible.<\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Advisory services are offered through Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration does not imply a certain level or skill or training. More information about the advisor, its investment strategies and objectives, is included in the firm\u2019s Form ADV Part 2, which can be obtained, at no charge, by calling (251) 517-7198. Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC is headquartered in Fairhope, Alabama. ACA-2304-30.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: &nbsp; Brad: The recession playbook has mostly filled in and markets seem to be adjusting &nbsp; Source: Strategas as of 04.24.2023 &nbsp; John Luke: though [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,194],"tags":[132,94,99,451,145,405,98,168,377],"class_list":["post-233714","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","category-charts","tag-earnings","tag-energy","tag-large-cap","tag-money-supply","tag-recession","tag-sandp500","tag-small-cap","tag-stocks","tag-tech"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Market in Pictures, April 28 - Aptus Capital Advisors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-april-28\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Market in Pictures, April 28 - Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. 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