{"id":233496,"date":"2023-03-31T17:57:33","date_gmt":"2023-03-31T17:57:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/?p=233496"},"modified":"2023-03-31T17:58:22","modified_gmt":"2023-03-31T17:58:22","slug":"the-market-in-pictures-march-31","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-march-31\/","title":{"rendered":"The Market in Pictures, March 31"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> Yields on deposits are still laughably behind at many banks<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-233498 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Bank-Rates-Still-Lagging-Bianco-03.27-JL-1024x768.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Bank-Rates-Still-Lagging-Bianco-03.27-JL-1024x768.png 1024w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Bank-Rates-Still-Lagging-Bianco-03.27-JL-980x735.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Bank-Rates-Still-Lagging-Bianco-03.27-JL-480x360.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1024px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> and with the recent \u201ccrisis\u201d, large banks have little incentive to offer market rates<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-233499 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Small-Banks-to-Large-Banks-Bianco-03.24-JL-1024x768.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Small-Banks-to-Large-Banks-Bianco-03.24-JL-980x735.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Small-Banks-to-Large-Banks-Bianco-03.24-JL-480x360.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1024px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> And while it took awhile for money to take advantage of higher money market yields<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-233500 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Money-Market-Flows-Bianco-03.27-JL-1024x768.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Money-Market-Flows-Bianco-03.27-JL-1024x768.png 1024w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Money-Market-Flows-Bianco-03.27-JL-980x735.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Money-Market-Flows-Bianco-03.27-JL-480x360.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1024px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Beckham:<\/strong> money is definitely moving to where it\u2019s being compensated relative to the risk<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-233501 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Flows-into-Money-Markets-Goldman-03.23-Beckham.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"581\" height=\"398\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Flows-into-Money-Markets-Goldman-03.23-Beckham.png 581w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Flows-into-Money-Markets-Goldman-03.23-Beckham-480x329.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 581px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brad:<\/strong> And while this bond bear market has been persistent in its damage<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-233502 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Bond-Bear-Market-Strategas-03.27-Brad.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"993\" height=\"608\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Bond-Bear-Market-Strategas-03.27-Brad.png 993w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Bond-Bear-Market-Strategas-03.27-Brad-980x600.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Bond-Bear-Market-Strategas-03.27-Brad-480x294.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 993px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: Strategas as of 03.27.23<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> allocators are moving fast to adjust their allocations given the higher yields now available in bonds<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-233503 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Bonds-on-Radar-BofA-03.24-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"692\" height=\"615\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Bonds-on-Radar-BofA-03.24-JL.png 692w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Bonds-on-Radar-BofA-03.24-JL-480x427.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 692px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Data as of 03.24.23<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brad:<\/strong> One return driver that\u2019s been historically absent in recent years has been equity dividends<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-233504 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Dividend-Contribution-Low-BofA-03.27-Brad.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"373\" height=\"303\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Dividend-Contribution-Low-BofA-03.27-Brad.png 373w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Dividend-Contribution-Low-BofA-03.27-Brad-300x244.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 373px) 100vw, 373px\" \/>Data as of 03.24.23<\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Joseph:<\/strong> and valuations on dividend havens like utilities have suffered as relative yields have fallen<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-233505 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Utilities-Strategas-03.27-Joseph.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"714\" height=\"218\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Utilities-Strategas-03.27-Joseph.png 714w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Utilities-Strategas-03.27-Joseph-480x147.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 714px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 03.27.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brad:<\/strong> When it comes to sector valuations, energy sits in a different universe than the rest of the market<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-233506 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Sectors-Valuations-Strategas-03.27-Brad.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"682\" height=\"569\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Sectors-Valuations-Strategas-03.27-Brad.png 682w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Sectors-Valuations-Strategas-03.27-Brad-480x400.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 682px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>\u00a0<\/em>Source: Strategas as of 03.27.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> which explains a good chunk of the discounted valuations in other global markets<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-233507 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Global-Valuations-Bernstein-03.28-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"817\" height=\"405\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Global-Valuations-Bernstein-03.28-JL.png 817w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Global-Valuations-Bernstein-03.28-JL-480x238.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 817px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: Bernstein as of 03.28.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> Correlations between stocks and bonds are as high as they\u2019ve been in decades<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-233508 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Correlations-Positive-Bernstein-03.28-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"417\" height=\"453\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Correlations-Positive-Bernstein-03.28-JL.png 417w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Correlations-Positive-Bernstein-03.28-JL-276x300.png 276w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 417px) 100vw, 417px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Data as of 03.27.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> with CPI regimes historically a big driver in the diversification potential of bonds vs. stocks<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-233509 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Correlations-and-CPI-Meketa-03.24-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"810\" height=\"413\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Correlations-and-CPI-Meketa-03.24-JL.png 810w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Correlations-and-CPI-Meketa-03.24-JL-480x245.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 810px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Data as of 03.17.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> Wall Street strategists are counting on strong growth in order to achieve consensus earnings estimates<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-233510 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Growth-Resuming-Morgan-Stanley-03.28-Dave-1024x601.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"601\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Growth-Resuming-Morgan-Stanley-03.28-Dave-980x576.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Growth-Resuming-Morgan-Stanley-03.28-Dave-480x282.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1024px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: Morgan Stanley as of 03.28.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> perhaps at odds with the historical outcomes when M2 money supply is falling sharply<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-233511 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/M2-Declines-03.28-Dave-829x1024.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"829\" height=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/M2-Declines-03.28-Dave-829x1024.png 829w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/M2-Declines-03.28-Dave-480x593.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 829px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>\u00a0<\/em>Source: Strategas as of 03.24.2023<\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> One year in, a look at how this FOMC rate cycle has impacted major assets compared to previous cycles<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-233512 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/One-Year-In-Strategas-03.24-Dave-1024x482.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"482\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/One-Year-In-Strategas-03.24-Dave-980x461.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/One-Year-In-Strategas-03.24-Dave-480x226.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1024px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>\u00a0<\/em>Source: Strategas as of 03.17.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Disclosures<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not financial advice or an offer to sell any product. The information contained herein should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Forward looking statements cannot be guaranteed.<\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future financial performance of markets are only predictions and actual events or results may differ materially.<\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>This commentary offers generalized research, not personalized investment advice. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a complete description of our investment services or performance. Nothing in this commentary should be interpreted to state or imply that past results are an indication of future investment returns. All investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with an investment &amp; tax professional before implementing any investment strategy. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible.<\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Advisory services are offered through Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration does not imply a certain level or skill or training. More information about the advisor, its investment strategies and objectives, is included in the firm\u2019s Form ADV Part 2, which can be obtained, at no charge, by calling (251) 517-7198. Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC is headquartered in Fairhope, Alabama. ACA-2303-30.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: &nbsp; John Luke: Yields on deposits are still laughably behind at many banks &nbsp; &nbsp; John Luke: and with the recent \u201ccrisis\u201d, large banks have [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,194],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-233496","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","category-charts"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Market in Pictures, March 31 - Aptus Capital Advisors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-march-31\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Market in Pictures, March 31 - Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: &nbsp; John Luke: Yields on deposits are still laughably behind at many banks &nbsp; &nbsp; John Luke: and with the recent \u201ccrisis\u201d, large banks have [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-march-31\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-03-31T17:57:33+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-03-31T17:58:22+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Bank-Rates-Still-Lagging-Bianco-03.27-JL-1024x768.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Aptus PM Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Aptus PM Team\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-march-31\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-march-31\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Aptus PM Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#\/schema\/person\/ad43972730756fb6d6e01e61090f21c2\"},\"headline\":\"The Market in Pictures, March 31\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-03-31T17:57:33+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-03-31T17:58:22+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-march-31\/\"},\"wordCount\":567,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Blog\",\"Charts\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-march-31\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-march-31\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-march-31\/\",\"name\":\"The Market in Pictures, March 31 - 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