{"id":233452,"date":"2023-03-24T19:56:43","date_gmt":"2023-03-24T19:56:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/?p=233452"},"modified":"2023-03-24T20:04:20","modified_gmt":"2023-03-24T20:04:20","slug":"the-market-in-pictures-march-24","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-march-24\/","title":{"rendered":"The Market in Pictures, March 24"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> The market sure seems to think the Fed is done hiking<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233454 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Market-vs.-Fed-Bianco-03.22-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"942\" height=\"707\" \/>Source: Bianco as of 03.22.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Joseph:<\/strong> and with the Fed\u2019s forecasting record, it might make sense to follow the market\u2019s lead<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233455 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Fed-Dot-Plots-LOL-Bianco-03.22-Joseph.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"759\" height=\"579\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Fed-Dot-Plots-LOL-Bianco-03.22-Joseph.png 759w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Fed-Dot-Plots-LOL-Bianco-03.22-Joseph-480x366.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 759px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Bianco as of 03.21.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> After an unprecedented series of hikes into an inverted yield curve<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233456 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Inverted-Hikes-Strategas-03.21-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"918\" height=\"560\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 03.21.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> markets now face the challenge of the backside of a hiking cycle<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233457 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2-Yr-vs.-Fed-Stategas-03.20-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1028\" height=\"633\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2-Yr-vs.-Fed-Stategas-03.20-JL-980x603.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/2-Yr-vs.-Fed-Stategas-03.20-JL-480x296.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1028px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 03.22.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Beckham:<\/strong> and a \u201cnot yet\u201d potential easing cycle<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233458 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Stocks-and-Rate-Cuts-BNP-Paribas-Beck-03.17.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"743\" height=\"435\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Stocks-and-Rate-Cuts-BNP-Paribas-Beck-03.17.png 743w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Stocks-and-Rate-Cuts-BNP-Paribas-Beck-03.17-480x281.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 743px, 100vw\" \/>Source: BNP Paribas as of 03.17.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>John Luke:<\/em><\/strong><em> Market breadth is separating to the downside from the S&amp;P 500<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233459 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Breadth-Rally-Fading-Harvest-03.22-JL.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"622\" height=\"350\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Breadth-Rally-Fading-Harvest-03.22-JL.jpg 622w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Breadth-Rally-Fading-Harvest-03.22-JL-480x270.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 622px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Harvest Investor as of 03.20.2023<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>John Luke:<\/em><\/strong><em> as investors flock to the old MAGA names <\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233460 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/MAGA-Names-Again-03.20-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"619\" height=\"503\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/MAGA-Names-Again-03.20-JL.png 619w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/MAGA-Names-Again-03.20-JL-480x390.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 619px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Goldman Sachs as of 03.21.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Dave:<\/em><\/strong><em> and active fund managers resume their position trailing behind major indices<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233461 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/MAGA-Returns-Strategas-03.20-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"953\" height=\"492\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 03.21.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> The fears of those fund managers have flipped from rising rates to a credit crash<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233462 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Macro-Fears-BofA-03.21-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"747\" height=\"448\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Macro-Fears-BofA-03.21-JL.png 747w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Macro-Fears-BofA-03.21-JL-480x288.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 747px, 100vw\" \/>Source: BofA as of 03.21.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> with this particular phase of the economy having a history of struggles<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233463 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Yield-Curve-Risks-Morgan-Stanley-03.20-Dave-.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"975\" height=\"433\" \/>Data as of 03.21.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Brad<\/em><\/strong><em>: and historical recession warning lights flashing clearly<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-233464 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Recession-Indicators-Strategas-03.18-Brad.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1010\" height=\"447\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Recession-Indicators-Strategas-03.18-Brad.png 1010w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Recession-Indicators-Strategas-03.18-Brad-980x434.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Recession-Indicators-Strategas-03.18-Brad-480x212.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1010px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 03.22.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Dave:<\/em><\/strong><em> 2022 looks to have ushered in an environment providing less cover than the negatively-correlating zig-zagging of bonds vs. stocks<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-233465 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Correlations-and-CPI-Strategas-03.20-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"963\" height=\"579\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 03.20.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<h5><strong>Disclosures<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not financial advice or an offer to sell any product. The information contained herein should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Forward looking statements cannot be guaranteed.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future financial performance of markets are only predictions and actual events or results may differ materially.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>This commentary offers generalized research, not personalized investment advice. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a complete description of our investment services or performance. Nothing in this commentary should be interpreted to state or imply that past results are an indication of future investment returns. All investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with an investment &amp; tax professional before implementing any investment strategy. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Advisory services are offered through Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration does not imply a certain level or skill or training. More information about the advisor, its investment strategies and objectives, is included in the firm\u2019s Form ADV Part 2, which can be obtained, at no charge, by calling (251) 517-7198. Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC is headquartered in Fairhope, Alabama. ACA-2303-26.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: &nbsp; John Luke: The market sure seems to think the Fed is done hiking &nbsp; Source: Bianco as of 03.22.2023 &nbsp; Joseph: and with the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,194],"tags":[84,57,145,276,269],"class_list":["post-233452","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","category-charts","tag-bonds","tag-fed","tag-recession","tag-sp-500","tag-yield"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Market in Pictures, March 24 - Aptus Capital Advisors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-march-24\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Market in Pictures, March 24 - Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. 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