{"id":233085,"date":"2023-02-03T20:03:21","date_gmt":"2023-02-03T20:03:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/?p=233085"},"modified":"2023-02-03T20:53:24","modified_gmt":"2023-02-03T20:53:24","slug":"the-market-in-pictures-february-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-3\/","title":{"rendered":"The Market in Pictures, February 3"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> One could make the case that wage growth is receding from its highs<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233086 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Avg-Hourly-Earnings-Bianco-02.03-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1014\" height=\"761\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Avg-Hourly-Earnings-Bianco-02.03-JL-980x735.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Avg-Hourly-Earnings-Bianco-02.03-JL-480x360.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1014px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Data as of 02.03.2023<\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> but until markets discount the structural labor strength, it\u2019s hard to see a sustainable bull market<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233087 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Payrolls-vs.-Estimates-Bianco-02.03-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1009\" height=\"757\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Payrolls-vs.-Estimates-Bianco-02.03-JL-980x735.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Payrolls-vs.-Estimates-Bianco-02.03-JL-480x360.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1009px, 100vw\" \/><\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Data as of 02.03.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> especially given the remaining labor force holdouts in the key age demographic<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233088 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Low-Labor-Supply-01.27-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"507\" height=\"556\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Low-Labor-Supply-01.27-JL.png 354w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Low-Labor-Supply-01.27-JL-274x300.png 274w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 507px) 100vw, 507px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Data as of 01.31.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> Could this be the unicorn, a \u201cno layoff\u201d recession?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233089 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/No-Layoff-Recession-Nomura-02.02-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"517\" height=\"624\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/No-Layoff-Recession-Nomura-02.02-JL.png 404w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/No-Layoff-Recession-Nomura-02.02-JL-248x300.png 248w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 517px) 100vw, 517px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Data as of 02.02.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> With this week\u2019s move, the Fed Funds rate is closing in on the widely-expected \u201cterminal rate\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233090 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Target-Approaching-Terminal-Bianco-02.02-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"985\" height=\"739\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Target-Approaching-Terminal-Bianco-02.02-JL.png 985w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Target-Approaching-Terminal-Bianco-02.02-JL-980x735.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Target-Approaching-Terminal-Bianco-02.02-JL-480x360.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 985px, 100vw\" \/><\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Data as of 02.02.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke:<\/strong> but it\u2019s hard to see a \u201cpivot\u201d without a significant drop in wage growth<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233091 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Wages-Sticky-01.31-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"699\" height=\"443\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Wages-Sticky-01.31-JL.png 699w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Wages-Sticky-01.31-JL-480x304.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 699px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: Atlanta Fed, Data as of 01.31.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> January was an epic \u201cjunk\u201d rally, with last year\u2019s trash bouncing from the lows<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233093 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/January-effect-Strategas-1.31.23-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2406\" height=\"1210\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/January-effect-Strategas-1.31.23-Dave.png 2406w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/January-effect-Strategas-1.31.23-Dave-1280x644.png 1280w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/January-effect-Strategas-1.31.23-Dave-980x493.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/January-effect-Strategas-1.31.23-Dave-480x241.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) and (max-width: 1280px) 1280px, (min-width: 1281px) 2406px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: Strategas as of 02.01.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brad:<\/strong> and high short interest a common denominator for the biggest risers<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233094 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/High-Short-Interest-Stocks-Leading-01.27-Brad.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1033\" height=\"537\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/High-Short-Interest-Stocks-Leading-01.27-Brad-980x510.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/High-Short-Interest-Stocks-Leading-01.27-Brad-480x250.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1033px, 100vw\" \/><\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Data as of 01.27.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>JD:<\/strong> As the year settles in, we expect companies with real growth and real cash flows to reclaim their leadership role<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-233095 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Dividend-Payers-Ned-Davis-01.03-DH.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1092\" height=\"646\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Dividend-Payers-Ned-Davis-01.03-DH.jpg 1092w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Dividend-Payers-Ned-Davis-01.03-DH-980x580.jpg 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Dividend-Payers-Ned-Davis-01.03-DH-480x284.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1092px, 100vw\" \/><\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Data as of 01.03.2023<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<h5><strong>Disclosures<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not financial advice or an offer to sell any product. The information contained herein should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Forward looking statements cannot be guaranteed.<\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Projections or other forward looking statements regarding future financial performance of markets are only predictions and actual events or results may differ materially.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>This commentary offers generalized research, not personalized investment advice. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a complete description of our investment services or performance. Nothing in this commentary should be interpreted to state or imply that past results are an indication of future investment returns. All investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with an investment &amp; tax professional before implementing any investment strategy. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible.<\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Advisory services are offered through Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration does not imply a certain level or skill or training. More information about the advisor, its investment strategies and objectives, is included in the firm\u2019s Form ADV Part 2, which can be obtained, at no charge, by calling (251) 517-7198. Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC is headquartered in Fairhope, Alabama. ACA-2302-8.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: &nbsp; John Luke: One could make the case that wage growth is receding from its highs &nbsp; Data as of 02.03.2023 \u00a0 John Luke: but [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,194],"tags":[132,57,361,256],"class_list":["post-233085","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","category-charts","tag-earnings","tag-fed","tag-job-market","tag-wage-growth"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Market in Pictures, February 3 - Aptus Capital Advisors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-3\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Market in Pictures, February 3 - Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: &nbsp; John Luke: One could make the case that wage growth is receding from its highs &nbsp; Data as of 02.03.2023 \u00a0 John Luke: but [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-3\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-02-03T20:03:21+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-02-03T20:53:24+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Avg-Hourly-Earnings-Bianco-02.03-JL.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Aptus PM Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Aptus PM Team\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-3\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-3\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Aptus PM Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#\/schema\/person\/ad43972730756fb6d6e01e61090f21c2\"},\"headline\":\"The Market in Pictures, February 3\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-02-03T20:03:21+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-02-03T20:53:24+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-3\/\"},\"wordCount\":451,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"earnings\",\"Fed\",\"job market\",\"wage growth\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Blog\",\"Charts\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-3\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-3\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-3\/\",\"name\":\"The Market in Pictures, February 3 - 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A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: &nbsp; John Luke: One could make the case that wage growth is receding from its highs &nbsp; Data as of 02.03.2023 \u00a0 John Luke: but [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-3\/","og_site_name":"Aptus Capital Advisors","article_published_time":"2023-02-03T20:03:21+00:00","article_modified_time":"2023-02-03T20:53:24+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/Avg-Hourly-Earnings-Bianco-02.03-JL.png"}],"author":"Aptus PM Team","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Aptus PM Team","Est. reading time":"4 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-3\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-3\/"},"author":{"name":"Aptus PM Team","@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#\/schema\/person\/ad43972730756fb6d6e01e61090f21c2"},"headline":"The Market in Pictures, February 3","datePublished":"2023-02-03T20:03:21+00:00","dateModified":"2023-02-03T20:53:24+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-3\/"},"wordCount":451,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#organization"},"keywords":["earnings","Fed","job market","wage growth"],"articleSection":["Blog","Charts"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-3\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-3\/","url":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-february-3\/","name":"The Market in Pictures, February 3 - 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