{"id":232763,"date":"2022-12-09T18:57:44","date_gmt":"2022-12-09T18:57:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/?p=232763"},"modified":"2022-12-09T19:00:56","modified_gmt":"2022-12-09T19:00:56","slug":"the-market-in-pictures-december-9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-december-9\/","title":{"rendered":"The Market in Pictures, December 9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> It\u2019s been a year of really high day-to-day volatility<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-232764 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Volatile-2022-Strategas-12.05-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2125\" height=\"1302\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Volatile-2022-Strategas-12.05-Dave.png 2125w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Volatile-2022-Strategas-12.05-Dave-1280x784.png 1280w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Volatile-2022-Strategas-12.05-Dave-980x600.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Volatile-2022-Strategas-12.05-Dave-480x294.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) and (max-width: 1280px) 1280px, (min-width: 1281px) 2125px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 12.07.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>JL:<\/strong> but much more an uncertainty grind than a market of fear, with VIX restrained vs. prior drawdowns<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-232765 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/VIX-Restrained-Bianco-12.05-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"900\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/VIX-Restrained-Bianco-12.05-JL.png 1200w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/VIX-Restrained-Bianco-12.05-JL-980x735.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/VIX-Restrained-Bianco-12.05-JL-480x360.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1200px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 12.05.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> Obviously, a bad year for stocks as measured by the S&amp;P 500<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-232766 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Bad-Year-for-Stocks-12.07-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1070\" height=\"770\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Bad-Year-for-Stocks-12.07-Dave.png 1070w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Bad-Year-for-Stocks-12.07-Dave-980x705.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Bad-Year-for-Stocks-12.07-Dave-480x345.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1070px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Jefferies as of 12.07.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Dave:<\/strong> but within the indices, major dispersion in performance across sectors in recent years<\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-232767 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Sector-Dispersion-Jefferies-12.07-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"712\" height=\"351\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Sector-Dispersion-Jefferies-12.07-Dave.png 712w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Sector-Dispersion-Jefferies-12.07-Dave-480x237.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 712px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 12.05.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> Dividends have often played a key role coming out of downturns<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-232768 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Dividend-Growth-12.06-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"830\" height=\"630\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Dividend-Growth-12.06-Dave.png 830w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Dividend-Growth-12.06-Dave-480x364.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 830px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Data as of 12.01.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Beckham:<\/strong> which lines up well with our current environment of high inflation <\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-232769 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Dividends-and-Inflation-SSGA-09.30-Beck.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"761\" height=\"337\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Dividends-and-Inflation-SSGA-09.30-Beck.png 761w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Dividends-and-Inflation-SSGA-09.30-Beck-480x213.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 761px, 100vw\" \/>Source: SSGA as of 10.01.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brad:<\/strong> Forecasts for rising margins seems a bit questionable given wage pressures and Fed rate policy<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-232770 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Margins-Expanding-Strategas-12.05-Brad.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"681\" height=\"563\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Margins-Expanding-Strategas-12.05-Brad.png 681w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Margins-Expanding-Strategas-12.05-Brad-480x397.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 681px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 12.05.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brad:<\/strong> putting 2023 earnings estimates at risk of being trimmed more aggressively<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-232771 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/2023-EPS-Growth-Strategas-12.5-Brad.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"681\" height=\"523\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/2023-EPS-Growth-Strategas-12.5-Brad.png 681w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/2023-EPS-Growth-Strategas-12.5-Brad-480x369.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 681px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 12.05.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Joseph:<\/strong> Speaking of 2023, it\u2019s been a long time since Wall Street strategists expected lower prices in the year ahead<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-232772 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Strategist-Forecasts-Bberg-12.07-Derek.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Strategist-Forecasts-Bberg-12.07-Derek.png 1200w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Strategist-Forecasts-Bberg-12.07-Derek-980x551.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Strategist-Forecasts-Bberg-12.07-Derek-480x270.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1200px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 12.07.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Brad:<\/strong> and given impact of higher discount rates on valuation, it\u2019s not hard to see why <\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-232773 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Equity-Valuations-Sevens-Report-12.05-Brad.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"589\" height=\"787\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Equity-Valuations-Sevens-Report-12.05-Brad.png 589w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Equity-Valuations-Sevens-Report-12.05-Brad-480x641.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 589px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Sevens Report<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<h5><strong>Disclosures<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not financial advice or an offer to sell any product. The information contained herein should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Forward looking statements cannot be guaranteed.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>This commentary offers generalized research, not personalized investment advice. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a complete description of our investment services or performance. Nothing in this commentary should be interpreted to state or imply that past results are an indication of future investment returns. All investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with an investment &amp; tax professional before implementing any investment strategy. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>The content and\/or when a page is marked \u201cAdvisor Use Only\u201d or \u201cFor Institutional Use\u201d, the content is only intended for financial advisors, consultants, or existing and prospective institutional investors of Aptus. These materials have not been written or approved for a retail audience or use in mind and should not be distributed to retail investors.\u00a0 Any distribution to retail investors by a registered investment adviser may violate the new Marketing Rule under the Investment Advisers Act.\u00a0 If you choose to utilize or cite material we recommend the citation, be presented in context, with similar footnotes in the material and appropriate sourcing to Aptus and\/or any other author or source references. This is notwithstanding any considerations or customizations with regards to your operations, based on your own compliance process, and compliance review with the marketing rule effective November 4, 2022.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Advisory services are offered through Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration does not imply a certain level or skill or training. More information about the advisor, its investment strategies and objectives, is included in the firm\u2019s Form ADV Part 2, which can be obtained, at no charge, by calling (251) 517-7198. Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC is headquartered in Fairhope, Alabama. ACA-2212-13.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: &nbsp; Dave: It\u2019s been a year of really high day-to-day volatility &nbsp; Source: Strategas as of 12.07.2022 &nbsp; JL: but much more an uncertainty grind [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,194],"tags":[234,362,132,83,363,276,168,63],"class_list":["post-232763","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","category-charts","tag-dividends","tag-drawdowns","tag-earnings","tag-inflation","tag-margins","tag-sp-500","tag-stocks","tag-volatility"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Market in Pictures, December 9 - Aptus Capital Advisors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-december-9\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Market in Pictures, December 9 - Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. 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