{"id":232693,"date":"2022-11-25T19:36:31","date_gmt":"2022-11-25T19:36:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/?p=232693"},"modified":"2022-11-25T19:38:19","modified_gmt":"2022-11-25T19:38:19","slug":"the-market-in-pictures-november-25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-25\/","title":{"rendered":"The Market in Pictures, November 25"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> As is usually the case, this equity rally has attracted inflows<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-232694 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Equity-Inflows-11.18-Strategas-Dave-1024x636.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"636\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Equity-Inflows-11.18-Strategas-Dave-980x609.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Equity-Inflows-11.18-Strategas-Dave-480x298.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1024px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: Strategas as of 11.18.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Joseph:<\/strong> and is settling into levels that have accompanied the other bear market peaks in 2022<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-232695 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/2022-Rally-Stats-Jefferies-11.22-Joseph.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"916\" height=\"589\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/2022-Rally-Stats-Jefferies-11.22-Joseph.png 916w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/2022-Rally-Stats-Jefferies-11.22-Joseph-480x309.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 916px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 11.22.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>JL:<\/strong> and bringing equity valuations into the upper range of historical markers<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232696 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Valuation-Forecasting-Goldman-11.22-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"683\" height=\"495\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Valuation-Forecasting-Goldman-11.22-JL.png 683w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Valuation-Forecasting-Goldman-11.22-JL-480x348.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 683px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Data as of 11.22.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Joseph:<\/strong> For the first time in forever, Treasuries are offering a serious alternative to equity dividend yields<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232697 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Treasuries-vs.-Div-Yield-Goldman-11.18-JS.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"518\" height=\"413\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Treasuries-vs.-Div-Yield-Goldman-11.18-JS.png 518w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Treasuries-vs.-Div-Yield-Goldman-11.18-JS-480x383.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 518px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Data as of 11.18.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>JL:<\/strong> high yield spreads have done very little to compensate investors for the additional credit risk<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232698 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/High-Yield-Spreads-RJ-11.18-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"784\" height=\"463\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/High-Yield-Spreads-RJ-11.18-JL.png 784w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/High-Yield-Spreads-RJ-11.18-JL-480x283.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 784px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: Raymond James as of 10.31.22<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Joseph:<\/strong> Traditional recession indicators are mixed on where the US economy may go<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232699 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Recession-Forecasting-GS-11.17-Joseph-.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"539\" height=\"437\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Recession-Forecasting-GS-11.17-Joseph-.png 539w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Recession-Forecasting-GS-11.17-Joseph--480x389.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 539px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Data as of 11.17.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>JL:<\/strong> though a recession in actual corporate earnings is the data point that ultimately matters more to equity markets<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232700 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Prior-Earnings-Recessions-Morgan-Stanley-11.18-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"839\" height=\"524\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Prior-Earnings-Recessions-Morgan-Stanley-11.18-JL.png 839w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Prior-Earnings-Recessions-Morgan-Stanley-11.18-JL-480x300.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 839px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: Morgan Stanley as of 11.18.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>JL:<\/strong> Declining dominance by megacap tech has actually been warranted by fundamentals, but may not be such a bad thing long-term<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232701 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Megacap-Tech-Dominance-Fading-11.22-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"652\" height=\"536\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Megacap-Tech-Dominance-Fading-11.22-JL.png 652w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Megacap-Tech-Dominance-Fading-11.22-JL-480x395.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 652px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Data as of 11.20.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> as other parts of the economy pick up the slack and position for future growth. Quite a dispersion by sector in relative performance vs. the S&amp;P 500<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232702 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Sector-Disparity-RJ-11.21-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"784\" height=\"385\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Sector-Disparity-RJ-11.21-Dave.png 784w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Sector-Disparity-RJ-11.21-Dave-480x236.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 784px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: Raymond James as of 11.21.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> Fed pauses have historically been decent times to be invested in stocks<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-232703\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Fed-Pauses-Morgan-Stanley-11.18-Dave-1024x259.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"259\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Fed-Pauses-Morgan-Stanley-11.18-Dave-980x248.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Fed-Pauses-Morgan-Stanley-11.18-Dave-480x121.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1024px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Data as of 11.18.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave:<\/strong> and while money supply growth has been abnormally stagnant in 2022, the really abnormal number in this series is 2020<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232704 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Money-Supply-Growth-Bilello-10.31-Dave-.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"896\" height=\"691\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Money-Supply-Growth-Bilello-10.31-Dave-.jpg 896w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Money-Supply-Growth-Bilello-10.31-Dave--480x370.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 896px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Disclosures<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not financial advice or an offer to sell any product. The information contained herein should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Forward looking statements cannot be guaranteed. Projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future financial performance of markets are only predictions and actual events or results may differ materially.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>This commentary offers generalized research, not personalized investment advice. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a complete description of our investment services or performance. Nothing in this commentary should be interpreted to state or imply that past results are an indication of future investment returns. All investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with an investment &amp; tax professional before implementing any investment strategy. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible.<\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future financial performance of markets are only predictions and actual events or results may differ materially.\u00a0<\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>The S&amp;P 500\u00ae is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities. According to our Annual Survey of Assets, an estimated USD 15.6 trillion is indexed or benchmarked to the index, with indexed assets comprising approximately USD 7.1 trillion of this total (as of Dec. 31, 2021). The index includes 500 leading companies and covers approximately 80% of available market capitalization.\u00a0<\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>When a page is marked \u201cAdvisor Use Only\u201d or \u201cFor Institutional Use\u201d, the content is only intended for financial advisors, consultants, or existing and prospective institutional investors of Aptus. These materials have not been written or approved for a retail audience or use in mind and should not be distributed to retail investors. Any distribution to retail investors by a registered investment adviser may violate the new Marketing Rule under the Investment Advisers Act. If you choose to utilize or cite material we recommend the citation, be presented in context, with similar footnotes in the material and appropriate sourcing to Aptus and\/or any other author or source references. This is notwithstanding any considerations or customizations with regards to your operations, based on your own compliance process, and compliance review with the marketing rule effective November 4, 2022.<\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Advisory services are offered through Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration does not imply a certain level or skill or training. More information about the advisor, its investment strategies and objectives, is included in the firm\u2019s Form ADV Part 2, which can be obtained, at no charge, by calling (251) 517-7198. Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC is headquartered in Fairhope, Alabama. ACA-2211-21.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: &nbsp; Dave: As is usually the case, this equity rally has attracted inflows &nbsp; Source: Strategas as of 11.18.2022 &nbsp; Joseph: and is settling into [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,194],"tags":[352,353,145,245],"class_list":["post-232693","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","category-charts","tag-fund-flows","tag-high-yield-spreads","tag-recession","tag-valuations"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Market in Pictures, November 25 - Aptus Capital Advisors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-25\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Market in Pictures, November 25 - Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. 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A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: &nbsp; Dave: As is usually the case, this equity rally has attracted inflows &nbsp; Source: Strategas as of 11.18.2022 &nbsp; Joseph: and is settling into [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-25\/","og_site_name":"Aptus Capital Advisors","article_published_time":"2022-11-25T19:36:31+00:00","article_modified_time":"2022-11-25T19:38:19+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Equity-Inflows-11.18-Strategas-Dave-1024x636.png"}],"author":"Aptus PM Team","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Aptus PM Team","Est. reading time":"6 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-25\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-25\/"},"author":{"name":"Aptus PM Team","@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#\/schema\/person\/ad43972730756fb6d6e01e61090f21c2"},"headline":"The Market in Pictures, November 25","datePublished":"2022-11-25T19:36:31+00:00","dateModified":"2022-11-25T19:38:19+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-25\/"},"wordCount":719,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#organization"},"keywords":["fund flows","high yield spreads","recession","valuations"],"articleSection":["Blog","Charts"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-25\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-25\/","url":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-november-25\/","name":"The Market in Pictures, November 25 - 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