{"id":232335,"date":"2022-09-16T15:59:31","date_gmt":"2022-09-16T15:59:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/?p=232335"},"modified":"2022-11-21T21:56:19","modified_gmt":"2022-11-21T21:56:19","slug":"the-market-in-pictures-september-16","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-september-16\/","title":{"rendered":"The Market in Pictures, September 16"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and how they help fill the puzzle of evidence:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>John Luke:<\/em><\/strong><em> Inflation was the topic of the week, its death may have been greatly exaggerated<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-232336 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Inflation-Measures-Bloomberg-09.14-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1191\" height=\"636\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Inflation-Measures-Bloomberg-09.14-JL.png 1191w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Inflation-Measures-Bloomberg-09.14-JL-980x523.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Inflation-Measures-Bloomberg-09.14-JL-480x256.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1191px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 09.14.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em><br \/>\nJoseph:<\/em><\/strong><em> and we saw broad price rises outside of energy prices<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-232337 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/CPI-Breadth-of-Rise-BofA-09.13-Joseph.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1101\" height=\"514\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/CPI-Breadth-of-Rise-BofA-09.13-Joseph.png 1101w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/CPI-Breadth-of-Rise-BofA-09.13-Joseph-980x458.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/CPI-Breadth-of-Rise-BofA-09.13-Joseph-480x224.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1101px, 100vw\" \/>Source: B of A as of 09.14.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>John Luke:<\/em><\/strong><em> From a headline standpoint, the bar for year-over-year increases gets pretty high after next month<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-232338 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/CPI-Prints-Bianco-09.14-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"900\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/CPI-Prints-Bianco-09.14-JL.png 1200w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/CPI-Prints-Bianco-09.14-JL-980x735.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/CPI-Prints-Bianco-09.14-JL-480x360.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1200px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 09.09.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Brad:<\/em><\/strong><em> but despite commodity prices falling from highs, they\u2019re still quite elevated vs. recent years<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-232339 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Commodity-Prices-Strategas-09.13-Brad.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"753\" height=\"399\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Commodity-Prices-Strategas-09.13-Brad.png 753w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Commodity-Prices-Strategas-09.13-Brad-480x254.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 753px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 09.13<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>John Luke: <\/em><\/strong><em>P<\/em><em>ost-CPI, markets have bumped future rate expectations higher<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-232340 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Fed-Funds-Futures-Curve-Bianco-09.14-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"900\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Fed-Funds-Futures-Curve-Bianco-09.14-JL.png 1200w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Fed-Funds-Futures-Curve-Bianco-09.14-JL-980x735.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Fed-Funds-Futures-Curve-Bianco-09.14-JL-480x360.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1200px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 09.13.2022<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>John Luke: <\/em><\/strong><em>b<\/em><em>ut don\u2019t expect banks to be friendly with the money market rates they offer<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-232341 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/NIM-Spreads-Bianco-09.09-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"900\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/NIM-Spreads-Bianco-09.09-JL.png 1200w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/NIM-Spreads-Bianco-09.09-JL-980x735.png 980w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/NIM-Spreads-Bianco-09.09-JL-480x360.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1200px, 100vw\" \/>Data as of 09.09.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Brad:<\/em><\/strong><em> Consensus earnings estimates are following their usual pattern of rising early and fading late<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-232342 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Earnings-Estimate-Patterns-Strategas-09.09-Brad.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"679\" height=\"565\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Earnings-Estimate-Patterns-Strategas-09.09-Brad.png 679w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Earnings-Estimate-Patterns-Strategas-09.09-Brad-480x399.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 679px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 09.09.2022<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Brad: b<\/em><\/strong><em>ut corporations are jumping out in front of the forthcoming buyback tax<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-232343 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Buybacks-Surging-Strategas-09.13-Brad.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"683\" height=\"542\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Buybacks-Surging-Strategas-09.13-Brad.png 683w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Buybacks-Surging-Strategas-09.13-Brad-480x381.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 683px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas as of 09.13.2022<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Dave:<\/em><\/strong><em> International markets face some stiff headwinds with the strength in the US Dollar<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-232344 size-full aligncenter\" style=\"text-align: center;\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/International-Stocks-vs.-Dollar-Strategas-09.09-Dave.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"887\" height=\"552\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/International-Stocks-vs.-Dollar-Strategas-09.09-Dave.png 887w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/International-Stocks-vs.-Dollar-Strategas-09.09-Dave-480x299.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 887px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: Strategas as of 09.09.2022<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Joseph:<\/em><\/strong><em> and there are a handful of countries with a huge % of loans resetting higher<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232345 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Variable-Rate-Loans-Bloomberg-09.12-Joseph.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"693\" height=\"533\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Variable-Rate-Loans-Bloomberg-09.12-Joseph.png 693w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Variable-Rate-Loans-Bloomberg-09.12-Joseph-480x369.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 693px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Bloomberg as of 09.12.2022<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>John Luke<\/strong>: Based on current inflation rates, expansion of P\/E multiples seems off the table<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232346 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Shiller-PE-09.14-JL.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"491\" height=\"368\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Shiller-PE-09.14-JL.png 491w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Shiller-PE-09.14-JL-480x360.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 491px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Shiller PE as of 9.13.22<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Brad:<\/em><\/strong><em> but maybe stocks aren\u2019t the most expensive asset class for US investors?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232347 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Asset-Class-PE-Strategas-09.09-Brad.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"560\" height=\"652\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Asset-Class-PE-Strategas-09.09-Brad.png 560w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Asset-Class-PE-Strategas-09.09-Brad-480x559.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 560px, 100vw\" \/>Source: Strategas 09.09.2022<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<h5><strong>Disclosures<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not financial advice or an offer to sell any product. The information contained herein should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Forward looking statements cannot be guaranteed. Projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future financial performance of markets are only predictions and actual events or results may differ materially.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>This commentary offers generalized research, not personalized investment advice. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a complete description of our investment services or performance. Nothing in this commentary should be interpreted to state or imply that past results are an indication of future investment returns. All investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with an investment &amp; tax professional before implementing any investment strategy. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible. <\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>The S&amp;P 500\u00ae Index is the Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s Composite Index and is widely regarded as a single gauge of large cap U.S. equities. It is market cap weighted and includes 500 leading companies, capturing approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.<\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in prices paid by consumers for goods and services. The CPI reflects spending patterns for each of two population groups: all urban consumers and urban wage earners and clerical workers.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>The MSCI EAFE Index (Europe, Australasia, Far East) is a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index that is designed to measure the equity market performance of developed markets, excluding the United States and Canada. The MSCI EAFE Index consists of the following 21 developed market countries: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Portugal, Singapore, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Kingdom. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index that is designed to measure equity market performance of emerging markets. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index consists of the following 26 emerging market country indices: Argentina, Brazil, Chile, China, Colombia, Czech Republic, Egypt, Greece, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Qatar, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Taiwan, Thailand, Turkey and United Arab Emirates.<\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Advisory services are offered through Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration does not imply a certain level or skill or training. More information about the advisor, its investment strategies and objectives, is included in the firm\u2019s Form ADV Part 2, which can be obtained, at no charge, by calling (251) 517-7198. Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC is headquartered in Fairhope, Alabama. ACA-2209-16.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and how they help fill the puzzle of evidence: &nbsp; John Luke: Inflation was the topic of the week, its death may have been greatly exaggerated &nbsp; Data as of 09.14.2022 &nbsp; Joseph: and we [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,194],"tags":[264,53,132,83],"class_list":["post-232335","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","category-charts","tag-buybacks","tag-cpi","tag-earnings","tag-inflation"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Market in Pictures, September 16 - Aptus Capital Advisors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-september-16\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Market in Pictures, September 16 - Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and how they help fill the puzzle of evidence: &nbsp; John Luke: Inflation was the topic of the week, its death may have been greatly exaggerated &nbsp; Data as of 09.14.2022 &nbsp; Joseph: and we [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-september-16\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-09-16T15:59:31+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-11-21T21:56:19+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Inflation-Measures-Bloomberg-09.14-JL.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Aptus PM Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Aptus PM Team\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-september-16\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-september-16\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Aptus PM Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#\/schema\/person\/ad43972730756fb6d6e01e61090f21c2\"},\"headline\":\"The Market in Pictures, September 16\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-09-16T15:59:31+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-11-21T21:56:19+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-september-16\/\"},\"wordCount\":712,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"buybacks\",\"CPI\",\"earnings\",\"inflation\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Blog\",\"Charts\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-september-16\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-september-16\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-september-16\/\",\"name\":\"The Market in Pictures, September 16 - 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