{"id":232039,"date":"2022-07-15T18:12:14","date_gmt":"2022-07-15T18:12:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/?p=232039"},"modified":"2022-12-14T17:38:51","modified_gmt":"2022-12-14T17:38:51","slug":"the-market-in-pictures-july-15","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-july-15\/","title":{"rendered":"The Market in Pictures, July 15"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and why:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>JL:<\/em><\/strong><em> History would indicate that the end of Fed tightening is a ways off<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232040 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Fed-hikes-Bianco-07.06.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"795\" height=\"336\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Fed-hikes-Bianco-07.06.png 795w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Fed-hikes-Bianco-07.06-480x203.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 795px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Data as of 07.06.22<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Dave:<\/em><\/strong><em> Q2 earnings results may hold the key to 2nd half performance, will high single-digit consensus hold?<\/em><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-232041 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Earnings-Estimates-BofA.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"649\" height=\"536\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Earnings-Estimates-BofA.png 649w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Earnings-Estimates-BofA-480x396.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 649px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Source: FactSet,BofA as of 7.13.2022<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Brad:<\/em><\/strong><em> CPI still running hot. Even if next 7 months show ZERO monthly changes we\u2019ll still be &gt;5%<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232042 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/CPI-trend.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"682\" height=\"405\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/CPI-trend.png 682w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/CPI-trend-480x285.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 682px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Source: Strategas as of 7.14.2022<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Dave:<\/em><\/strong><em> Recessions with job growth can happen, 1970s are a good example<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232043 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Jobs-in-Recession.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"584\" height=\"369\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Jobs-in-Recession.png 584w, https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Jobs-in-Recession-480x303.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 584px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Source: Pavilion as of 07.13.2022<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>JL:<\/em><\/strong><em> The yield curve inversion is really kicking in now<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-232044 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/2-10-Spread-Strategas-07.13.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"736\" height=\"463\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Source: Strategas as of 07.14.22<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Disclosures<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not financial advice or an offer to sell any product. The information contained herein should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Forward looking statements cannot be guaranteed. <\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>This commentary offers generalized research, not personalized investment advice. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a complete description of our investment services or performance. Nothing in this commentary should be interpreted to state or imply that past results are an indication of future investment returns. All investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with an investment &amp; tax professional before implementing any investment strategy. Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible. <\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in prices paid by consumers for goods and services. The CPI reflects spending patterns for each of two population groups: all urban consumers and urban wage earners and clerical workers.<\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Treasury yield is the return on investment, expressed as a percentage, on the U.S. government\u2019s debt obligations. Looked at another way, the Treasury yield is the effective interest rate that the U.S. government pays to borrow money for different lengths of time. <\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Fixed income securities are subject to certain risks including, but not limited to: interest rate (changes in interest rates may cause a decline in market value or an investment), credit, prepayment, call (some bonds allow the issuer to call a bond for redemption before it matures), and extension (principal repayments may not occur as quickly as anticipated, causing the expected maturity of a security to increase).<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Advisory services are offered through Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration does not imply a certain level or skill or training. More information about the advisor, its investment strategies and objectives, is included in the firm\u2019s Form ADV Part 2, which can be obtained, at no charge, by calling (251) 517-7198. Aptus Capital Advisors, LLC is headquartered in Fairhope, Alabama. ACA-2207-21.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and why: &nbsp; JL: History would indicate that the end of Fed tightening is a ways off &nbsp; Data as of 07.06.22 &nbsp; &nbsp; Dave: Q2 earnings results may hold the key to 2nd half [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,194],"tags":[53,231,145,49],"class_list":["post-232039","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","category-charts","tag-cpi","tag-curve-inversion","tag-recession","tag-yield-curve"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Market in Pictures, July 15 - Aptus Capital Advisors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-july-15\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Market in Pictures, July 15 - Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and why: &nbsp; JL: History would indicate that the end of Fed tightening is a ways off &nbsp; Data as of 07.06.22 &nbsp; &nbsp; Dave: Q2 earnings results may hold the key to 2nd half [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-july-15\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Aptus Capital Advisors\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-07-15T18:12:14+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-12-14T17:38:51+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Fed-hikes-Bianco-07.06.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Aptus PM Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Aptus PM Team\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-july-15\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-july-15\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Aptus PM Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#\/schema\/person\/ad43972730756fb6d6e01e61090f21c2\"},\"headline\":\"The Market in Pictures, July 15\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-07-15T18:12:14+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-12-14T17:38:51+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-july-15\/\"},\"wordCount\":480,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"CPI\",\"curve inversion\",\"recession\",\"yield curve\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Blog\",\"Charts\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-july-15\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-july-15\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/aptuscapitaladvisors.com\/the-market-in-pictures-july-15\/\",\"name\":\"The Market in Pictures, July 15 - 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