Around the Bond Market: January 2025

Progress on the Debt to GDP Ratios… Kinda   The CBO, a non-partisan budget agency, updated its forecasts for the U.S. budget deficits for the next 10 years. The report showed a slightly improved fiscal picture compared to its previous outlook published back in June...

The Market in Pictures, January 17

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout the day. Here are a handful that we think are contributing to investor activity , from rate expectations to growth drivers to government spending and comparisons of foreign markets to ours. Enjoy!   Joseph: The rate of...
How Do You Define Safe?

How Do You Define Safe?

Brian wrote a recent post that’s relevant to this month’s writeup. It’s worth a few minutes of your time as it provides perspective around how you should think about investing your hard earned money: The Lost Century in Bonds. Volatility is not risk, and the...

The Market in Pictures, January 10

Our team looks at a lot of research throughout the day. Here are a handful that we think are contributing to investor activity , from rate expectations to growth drivers to government spending and comparisons of foreign markets to ours. Enjoy!   John Luke: As everyone...

2025 Rate Cut Outlook

The market is currently pricing in 1.53 cuts for 2025 (Fed says 2). As we’ve said before, we believe the FOMC has gotten its rate closer to neutral. This positions them to patiently sit back and monitor the economy and incoming data, specifically related to policy...